This gets at something I wanted to discuss in the justice meta but ran out of time and space for (mostly because that meta was already so long, whoops.) We can talk about what kind of consequences August should face, but consequences only have meaning insofar as the person they’re intended for feels that meaning authentically.
I think we can all envision a version of August who goes to prison for x number of years and never gains perspective, so he spends his entire time stewing in anger and growing even more resentful and comes out ready to do more harm. There’s something compelling, however, in him looking back over his shoulder and seeing a landscape full of of burned bridges and not only feeling that loss but understanding his role in it. (Which can still be done from prison btw. I’m not ruling that out entirely.)
To agree with @darktwistedgenderplural, I think we can definitely see the romantic relationship with Sara as one of those bridges August burned, and it’s probably going to be the one he sees first. I want to add on and push this outside the borders of romantic relationships, however, and look at all the other potential losses that I hope would become apparent to August after some meaningful self-reflection. He and Wilhelm could have had stronger family ties, and shared stories about Erik with one another. (Sharing stories is an important part of the grieving process.) August and Simon could have become friends who brought the rowing team to the victory, and maybe they could have talked about their respective dads’ struggles with addiction. (Yes, I know that sounds far-fetched, but stick with me till the last paragraph.) August and Felice don’t really have the romantic chemistry August wanted them to have at the beginning of season one, but if he hadn’t been so gross to her and then committed a serious crime against her best friend, they probably could have commiserated about feeling the pressures of perfectionism in an environment so focused on status. They have that in common and it’s both something they need support for.
Finally, I want to talk about Kristina. August is pretty terrible to most women, even adult ones, but he does respect Kristina for being queen, and in season 1 she initially trusts him to look after Wilhelm after Erik dies. While on most levels their relationship follows the lines of royal family protocol, they could have also developed a more genuine familial bond, and maybe Kristina could have been someone he could talk to about his dad, since she was close to his father as well. (August’s mom is not the right person for August to talk to about August’s dad, as we can see from their interaction in 1.3.) Now Kristina just sees August as the person who ruined her son’s life, and rightfully so.
My point is: burned bridges! So many burned bridges! And you might say, well, a lot of those go back to before August leaked the video, he was too much of a classist misogynist jerkface for any of this to come true, which is kind of my point. Right now he sees leaking the video as the beginning of his troubles. The reality is that leaking the video was a culmination of all of the stuff that preceded it, and until August sees that, he can’t fully view his actions or see the impact of his harm in correct context. And once he does that, he’ll be aware of a whole support network he could have had and missed out on because he couldn’t see the ways in which he was genuinely connected to other people and cut every potential tie. I think then he’ll see the way he made other people’s lives harder, and threw wrenches into their relationships (Simon and Wilhelm, yes, but also Sara and Simon, and Felice and Sara, and Wilhelm and Kristina) with his behaviors. That, to me, is where the regret happens—where the consequences hit hardest and make the most impact. And maybe that’s where the changes in behavior can happen, over time, and with a lot of work.