How likely is violence in Kashmir?
Much more likely now that the Indians have actually change administrative status. They know that. All of the geopolitical risks out there: Turkey going into Syria, Russia cyber-war against the United States, Iran conflict, U.S. - China, that are usually 1-5%. Right now, they're more like 10% 20% and they're getting worse. None of them are likely to happen. But if you look at all of them we're not going to be able to avoid crises for much longer.
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