what are the chances of winning the lottery

We Live in a World of Numbers

Statistics. Chance. Fate. Quantum probability. 

Our entire existence is governed by numbers. Your chances of winning the lottery or of being killed by a serial killer are just that, chances. What’s more is that these chances are rapidly changing every second. Your chances of getting killed by that serial killer can vary depending on your actions such as where you are, your behavior and so on. Lock yourself into a carefully guarded penthouse and your chances are better but still not zero. 

Action is what generates these numbers which are really only ratios. There is a fifty to one chance that when the phone rings it will be Ted. The best we can do is estimate chances for most things. In reality, the chances are what they are and the best we can do is approximate them because our information is imperfect.  One can imagine numbers rapidly changing everywhere all the time surrounding us. Changing as we act and other sentient beings act and our actions flow together in a spiral of canceling waves of probability. One of those probabilities is the probability that we will die in the next minute. One day that number will be 1/1 and we will be no more.

          SUPER AWESOME PRIMORDIA KWAMI COMPETITIOON!!

So to celebrate the amazing achievement of 500 followers (pretty much triple I’ve ever had in my life) I’m holding a little competition for you guys! Most peeps tend to hold a giveaway by random lottery, but I personally kinda dislike those, so I wanted to give people a fighting chance, that those who really, really wanted to win had a better opportunity than those who didn’t really care ;) So here we are. Primordia is what got me these fans, so Primordia’s the game~

What do I do?

I want you little birdies to write for me. Like I have done for the descriptions of the god Kwami, create an original kwami and write the lore for it, including their powers, station, animal basis, personality, origin and any other information you like. Pictures can be included but the bulk of info should be in the writing. Points for originality and imagination! Basically I want to be super inspired by your ideas!

The Prize

The determined winner of this little competition will win an artwork from me; to see their design and idea fully drawn as an old god Kwami as part of the Primordia series.

Deadline and Submissions

Submissions can be sent to my tumblr submit here, or to my email at emarian.dev@gmail.com. All submissions may be compiled and posted at the end of the competition for everyone to read, you can opt out.

Deadline is the New Year!

_____________________________________________

To encourage originality, I’m also going to set up a google doc here where people can write in their kwami animal and power, in case anyone wants to be sure they’re writing a kwami that hasn’t already been designed by me or other participants.

Adventures in Bio

Kid: you should add aliens to the list
Teacher: I will add aliens when they are discovered
Kid: if the government even tells us about them

Teacher: are you writing these notes
Kid: yes
Teacher: you don’t have anything out and you’re not writing

Teacher: why do we use cellular respiration?
Kid: TO GET MORE POWER

Kid: What if the human race changed their hair colour? Would that be natural selection?
Teacher: No
Kid: but like what if we all changed our hair?
Teacher: We would all be dyeing our hair

Kid 2: Can you have a gene that isn’t in your family tree?
Teacher: You can? But the chance is 0.00000-
Kid: it’s like the same as winning the lottery and getting hit by lightning on the same day
Teacher: don’t interrupt me

Kid: why don’t monkeys evolve into humans now

Kid: haven’t humans evolved to build airplanes? So we can fly?

Teacher: because of your brain you’re not more likely to fall in love with horses

Kid: didn’t First Nations use that appendix when they ate bark?
Teacher: that’s an organ in your body

Kid: trees hibernate

AUTHORS FIRST

When I wrote my first novel over three years ago, the publishing industry was in the middle of one the biggest upheavals in its history. The traditional publishing houses, with their archaic systems that made getting published like winning the lottery, were suddenly being challenged by Amazon–who’d made it possible for authors to publish their own works.

When I was first deciding what I was going to do with my novel, I had the chance to meet and talk to some authors who had tried both going through the traditional publishing system and also publishing on their own.

Two things stuck out to me back then: money and autonomy.

Ebooks were clearly the wave of the future. Quite a few Barnes & Nobles were closing, Borders had already closed all of their doors, and it seemed as if most of the sales in my particular genre were electronic. Unlike most traditional publishing houses, where your royalty percentage was almost certainly a single digit, Amazon offered 70% of a book’s list price to the author.

I also read many, many horror stories about authors who sold their precious novels to publishing houses–and they were forced to make changes they didn’t agree with, forced to conform to unspoken rules that they didn’t understand, and sometimes to even try to dull their authorial voice. I read stories about authors who had series left unfinished because publishers didn’t pick up the option, but also wouldn’t let the rights go.

It was a very easy decision for me to decide to self-publish my first two novels. However, nobody ever tells you how hard it is, especially when you don’t know what you’re doing and there’s no good resources online to help you do it yourself. You learn by trial and error–a lot of errors, if I’m being really honest.

But the landscape of the publishing industry is changing again, and I think there’s a place between the big impersonal houses that impose their will and the terrifying free-fall of self-publishing.

When we first thought of Ink & Smith Publishing, Liz and I dreamt of a publishing house that would support,encourage,and give the author the right to their own book. A publishing house that embraced the power of a partnership between author and editor, and wasn’t preoccupied with enforcing their own will. A publishing house that wouldn’t refuse to publicize a book because they didn’t like what the author said on social media. A publishing house where a book isn’t held hostage forever just because a publisher can.

I’m so excited to launch Ink & Smith as a new kind of publishing house. We’re committed to putting authors first at every stage of the process and are certain that you’ll notice the difference in our works.

- Beth

Emily: Oh. Still no sitter?
JJ: My sitter is not available. Apparently, I have a better chance at winning the lottery than getting a sitter on a Saturday night.
Reid: What’s going on tonight?
Emily: Oh, it was ladies’ night, but..
JJ: I forgot to book a sitter.
Reid: I’ll do it
JJ: Spence–
Reid: What? I’ve seen an episode of Mr. Belvedere.
JJ: You’ve never baby-sat by yourself before.
Emily: Well…. He could do a couple of hours.
Reid: What could possibly go wrong?
—  Emily Prentiss, Jennifer Jareau, Spencer Reid. Season 7 Episode 16. Criminal Minds quote of the day. 
Free! x Adores IwaSame Cafe

I have been so lucky that my visit to Japan coincides with Free! cafe produced by Adores in Ikebukuro. Before I went, I tried so many times to win the damn lottery to get a cafe reservation and even with choosing the least popular times (earliest and latest, which is at 9pm), I still didn’t managed to get it. So I thought, that’s it I’ll just go wait outside the cafe and cry. However, turns out they do give out tickets and you can queue up a hour before it opens for a chance to get general reservation. 

Anyway, so I decided to try my luck. I mean what to lose right (except sleep). It was actually my first day in Japan, woke up early, took the train, got lost but finally managed to get to the cafe queue. I got there around 9:25am and even then, the queue has at least 20 people. 

The chaos in the early morning. This was actually on a holiday; the first time I went there were less people but I just forgot to take a pic of the queue in my excitement lol.

What it looks like from across the street. The cafe is on 4th floor and the other three floors have UFO catchers, and you can buy cafe goods on 3rd floor with or without reservation.

The cafe poster with the boys. My favourite has to be iwatobi-chan moping in the back as if it’s sulking that it got to sit by him/her(?)self XD. And look at those tiny iwatobi-chan in the basket, so cute >,<

I was incredibly lucky that on the first day I queue, the lady came out around half 9 and started counting. Pretty soon the queue starts moving and I saw people leaving the queue one after another with tickets. I was confused at this point cos I thought they’re doing lottery for reservations. Soon it was almost my turn and the lady almost give me a heart attack when she used up the last ticket for the girl in front of me and then she went inside. I was ready to cry when suddenly she came back out with more tickets. Hallelujah!! Anyway I managed to get reservation 15:30 after managing to speak my way through with awkward japanese. She was like did you come all the way here for this after hearing my name and I went ‘Yes!!!’

The reservation ticket, hands were shaking from excitement so excuse the out of focus photo lol

Anyway I had a lot of time to kill so I went around Ikebukuro like a kid in a candy store. Turns out too much anime/manga/merchandise be very overwhelming, it was just too much but in a good way. I’ll probably write about ikebukuro and otome road and how much of a paradise it is in a separate post.

I also went to the 3rd floor of Adores building to buy some limited goods. Plus to snap these cuties >.<

Iwatobi and Samezuka boys in uniforms. It was awesome that they’re actually giving these to lucky fans via lottery. Curses whoever gets them T.T >.>

My favourite decorative piece. The chibis!! and the giant iwatobi-chan plush. If only they sell these, but then again not like I have enough space for it in my suitcase….

So for my first visit, I went full on OTP. I ordered Makoto’s drink, which is milk based with sweet syrup. I forgot to stir properly lol I got a shock at how sweet the syrup was with the first sip. Ate the MakoHaru saba green curry. I’ll be honest, I ate it for my OTP but it was weird…. I wasn’t too keen on the green curry paste tbh and saba had a lot of bones. Luckily I’m good with chopsticks so i can pick them out but it was truly testing. But I’m just really happy that I went and ate that MakoHaru curry. That’s all I wanted tbh. Then for dessert, I had Makoto’s green tea cake with chocolate base. It was very nice although I was surprised that it’s served warm. Also i was lucky that I had a chance to eat it cos next time I went, Mako’s matcha cake was sold out. The whole meal was really filling for me and it was quite a surreal experience for me that my first full meal in Japan was at this Free! cafe. 

Then I went several times after that for a chance to go there again. My first visit was the only time they gave out tickets without doing lottery. All other times, they do lottery. Friend and I tried during silver week but we didn’t get it T.T. I went again by myself the next day and all slots were filled before my turn. However, luck was on my side and on 3rd try I picked the winning stick and got a lunch time reservation. I did notice during my 2nd visit that there were empty seats, I guess that’s the downside of lottery cos if not many people picked the winning lot then they just have to let the seats go empty for the sake of fairness.

So during my 2nd visit, I wanted to try the HaruRin’s drink. It was very very nice. It got blue jellies and dried strawberries in soda. I really enjoyed it. For main, I ordered the Samezuka Maid Cafe from Hell’s Omurice. It was good but I thought the flavour was a bit weak and not enough meat. Don’t get me wrong, it was still tasty and I finished it all so…. then I got Nitori’s ice cream for dessert. It was surprisingly refreshing. The tiny star pieces gave a sour kick and they complement well with the sweet ice cream and jelly. 

The full view of the cafe, it was a tiny cafe. Both times I was seated at this large 6-seat table, it’s for one person reservations. 

On my way out I saw the ad for upcoming starry night kuji. Bye bye money…..

Placemats that come with each order of main meal or dessert. Since I ordered 4 in total during my visits, I managed to get two of each. Best souvenir ever!!

Goods I bought. I was lucky enough to get most of them without trading. Only mako and haru (dolphin) were traded. Wish I brought more money to buy more charms T.T

I also got cafe limited charms and badges that i won’t be keeping so I’ll put them up for sale soon. I have too many Momo’s >,< Iol

Stickers I got with each other of food item. I had to trade rin for sousuke and haru for kisumi, I’m gutted to let rin go tbh but can’t have them all. On the back of stickers is the character’s info as you can see. I doubt I’ll ever use them lol.

I wanted to go a 3rd time, so I tried on the very last day. Unfortunately all seats were filled before I even got a chance to do the kuji T.T

The cafe has finished now but I feel lucky that I managed to go there not once but twice during my short visit. It was an amazing experience. It’s more than I ever hoped for. Soon…Japan soon I will be there for longer than two weeks.