Moderate risk (level 4 of 5) continues for Oklahoma today for severe weather. Greatest threat of severe weather runs from Oklahoma City to extreme North Texas today.
Storms should fire 4-6 p.m. with large hail a near certainty with any storms (think very large hail here).
Moisture continues to increase as models projected, and we’re watching trends there. Low level moisture is everything to the tornado threat today. Think the Red River area (South OK/N TX) are probably a go for a tornado threat today with any discrete supercells. Further north towards OKC, think the threat is more conditional and we’ll just have to wait and see. Think the ‘magic number’ on dewpoints given shear today is around 58F, especially towards evening as cloud bases lower a bit.
Expect a tornado watch to be issued later this afternoon. Also, one final note, storms should be moving 40mph+ today. That means that you’ll need to be ready to act a little quicker than other days. So have a plan and be ready!