two term

4

Donald Trump’s White House is giving up on that border wall, for now

  • Trump’s signature campaign promise — a huge, shiny new wall on the U.S.-Mexican border — is no longer on the table for this week’s budget negotiations, CNN’s Jake Tapper reported Tuesday evening on The Lead.
  • Mick Mulvaney, Trump’s director of the White House’s Office of Management and Budget, confirmed the news.
  • When Tapper asked if Trump would sign a budget without funding for the wall, Mulvaney responded, “Yeah.”
  • On Monday, the president reportedly signaled he was open to constructing the wall later in his first term. 
  • Nearly two-thirds of Americans oppose the wall, according to Pew Research polling released in February, with just 35% in favor. Read more (4/25/17 11 pm)

Despite being first author on a published paper that uses the phrase “artificial neural network” frequently, despite spending my morning peer-reviewing a journal article about machine learning, I still feel like I’m a complete newcomer to stats, just because I’ve only taken one formal stats course. But I guess there’s a lesson there about graduate school and continuing education and less formal forms of knowledge transfer in academia, because 90% of what I work on now isn’t stuff I learned in the classroom. The best college classes I ever took recognized that their purpose was to pass along learning methods and to formalize particular ways of thinking—less in the way of “please repeat to me every equation and definition in this textbook” and more in the way of “here’s how to put into words the scientific problem you’re facing, which may or may not be one of the topics we’re covering here, and here’s some things you can try in order to find a solution to that problem”.

anonymous asked:

You should go read up on the number of possible chromosomal pairs for humans and then get back to me on how there are only two sexes

I don’t care about chromosomes or gametes or whatever. I’m not a doctor or a biologist or a geneticist. 

There is one group of people (males) with distinctly different external features from the other group of people (females) and having those external features is what separates those two groups in terms of privilege and socialization. Intersex people exist, but they’re the exception, not the rule, and generally appear to be one sex or the other at birth and through most of life, as many intersex conditions aren’t diagnosed until later in life. There’s this idea

Men in Somalia don’t ask what chromosomes a girl has before mutilating her genitals. College boys don’t take a DNA sample to check a girl’s chromosomes before slipping roofies in their drinks. Parents don’t check their kids chromosomes before deciding to buy them baby dolls or trucks. Chromosomes were discovered in the 1880s, but sex-based oppression, which is what I care about, not chromosomal pairings, has been around for thousands of years.

anonymous asked:

Do you mind if I ask what your sexual/romantic orientation is? I'm just curious XD

I’m kinda deciding what to label myself rn. I used to identify as bi and had it in my description and stuff but now I’m starting to feel like pan more accurately describes me so idk. I fluctuate between those two terms sometimes when talking about myself. I’ll probably make a post when I figure it out

anonymous asked:

James Gunn didn't really say anything pretentious. He just compared the two movies in terms of building off the previous installment and building up characters. Hence the the Empire Strikes Back comparison as well..

He just compared the two movies in terms of building off the previous installment and building up characters

This honestly makes it that much funnier. Wow a sequel builds upon its previous movie and further builds upon its characters???? what a novel idea obviously a normal film technique used by every sequel ever means that you got your inspiration from friggin godfather 2 and ESB. 

Paul Blart Mall Cop 2 did this as well, imagine if that directlor told us all with a straight face that he got inspiration to build upon the original movie from Godfather 2. 

anonymous asked:

Tony is filled with dread at the thought of the team returning because he knows that they'll blame him for the exile. He can see it; Steve for him losing his temper in Siberia even though he had reason; Clint will throw another jab about breaking a back; Wanda blames him for anything. But he's done with them. As he sits at the compound waiting for there return he goes over every interaction and wondered why he ever considered these people his friends his only real friends were Rhodey and Bruce

Yes, he is. He really is done with them. It’s actually a surprisingly…freeing conclusion, once Tony allows himself to believe that. Because you see, Tony never does anything half-way. When he realised his weapons were hurting the wrong people, he didn’t put the deliveries on stricter security, he shut the entire production down. We can stand all day here, arguing about whether or not that’s a good thing, but the point is when Tony does something, he does it 100%, no take backs, right from the start.

And when he comes to the internal decision that Steve, Clint and Wanda aren’t his friends, aren’t his team mates, that changes things. Maybe not as much as it should have, because he’s still far too generous as far as Rhodey is concerned, but still.

No, Tony isn’t going to stop his work to get the ex-team back on US ground, but his motivation changes. It’s not…personal as much anymore. It’s because it will be an advantage once the fight–the one Tony’s been warning them of from the start, and no, he isn’t bitter about that at all

But it’s easier now, to face them again when they inevitably return. It’s easier to brush off the sharp comments and thinly veiled insults, to put on a smile for the cameras and disappear into the crowd as soon as the pictures have been taken.

On the surface nothing has changed. But mentally, accepting that his former team mates aren’t his friends, that maybe they never were, helps Tony in ways even he doesn’t fully understand.

It puts a distance between them and him, emotionally. And until it’s there Tony never even realised how much he needs that.

Weeks later, when Steve tries to extend a hand, genuinely contrite, tries to fix things between them, Tony lets the call go to voicemail and never listens to the message–not even on purpose, simply because he’s busy and FRIDAY is no longer required to remind him of those things, because Steve has lost that status a long time ago.

It takes even longer for Steve (and far longer for Clint) to realise that though. Realise that, at some point, Tony has stopped waiting for them. And if that bothers them more than either of them would like to admit, well. That’s hardly Tony’s problem anymore, is it?

2

Lots of narratives have been going around about why Hillary lost. Most are placing the blame directly on the candidate herself, ignoring a few key points:

1. Hillary won the popular vote by 3 million votes. Yes. 3 million. To minimize this or not take it into consideration proves you are bias in your analysis of why Hillary lost. You don’t win the popular vote by 3 million if you are a truly bad candidate (Hillary also won every single debate). And for historical reference, Al Gore only won the popular vote by 500,000. Hillary won it by 3 million. 3 million votes is no small feat. You cannot ignore this fact if you want an un-bias analysis of why Hillary lost the election. The last two Republican Presidents lost the popular vote!

Also – both popular vote winners Al Gore and Hillary Clinton were hurt by progressives (Nader and Bernie) who got too comfortable after 8 years of a Democrat in the White House. Our side seems to shoot itself in the foot after 8 years in power. As we learned yet again – every vote counts, especially in the swing states. Because guess what? You can win the popular vote and still lose the election due to the electoral college. Progressives blew it big time for the second time in 20 years and hurt our popular vote winners Al Gore and Hillary Clinton. A cumulative 3.5 million more votes for the Democrats!

2. In U.S. politics, one party usually has power over the White House for only 8 years. Very rarely does a party hold onto the White House longer than 8 years. The last time was when Bush Senior won after Ronald Reagan, but then he quickly lost re-election to Bill Clinton. Democrat Al Gore couldn’t even win after Clinton left us with a surplus and booming economy. This usually happens because the side that isn’t in power tends to rise up, while the side that occupies the White House gets lazy and complicit. From a historical perspective, America was already headed towards a Republican Administration in 2016. Combine that with the racist backlash to Obama, and Trump exploiting the rise of worldwide racist nationalism, it’s no wonder their base turned out and ours didn’t. Remember – under Obama, the Democrats have lost 900 legislative seats nationwide and most of the Governorships and state legislatures, too (in addition to the White House and U.S. Congress). The backlash to Obama has been strong and was bound to hurt us in 2016. Point is – in American politics, very rarely does the same party occupy the White House for more than two-terms. This especially holds true when you combine that with racism and the rise of nationalism working against the first African American President. Conservatives were out for blood after 8 years of Obama, while our side shot itself in the foot by allowing Bernie to run as a Democrat (Nader all over again).

3. Just as in the United Kingdom (Brexit), there has been a worldwide resurgence in a nationalistic white working-class. Trump exploited this in a way Bernie Sanders never could have. Why? Because nationalism is being used to scapegoat immigrants and minorities. The 2016 election truly was an election about which party was going to turn out their base (whites vs. minorities). That’s why Hillary spent her time trying to convince us of the dangers a Trump Presidency posed to minorities. And if we had voted in levels similar to 2008, our base would have triumphed. But a core part of our base was missing – young voters that showed up for Obama but not Hillary. Why? Bernie fucking Sanders. Most of the “Bernie-or-Bust” voters I knew were young male progressives who puked at the thought of ever voting for Hillary. They even called Bernie a “sell-out” when he half-heartedly campaigned for her. What a shame. Because in the face of Brexit, every vote counted. Remember – Trump only won the swing states by a total of 80,000. How many “Bernie-or-Busters” were in the swing states? Seriously – never underestimate angry white men showing up at the polls (Brexit and Trump). Our side is much harder to turn out. That’s why every vote counted. And yes… I’m looking at you, college students!

4. Comey. The momentum the 3rd debate victory produced was lost after the Comey letter. The 3rd debate was the debate where “Nasty Woman” was coined. The closet thing the Hillary campaign came to naturally produced momentum. And it (luckily) came near the end of the election in the final stretch. Hillary was riding high after the 3rd debate domination – 11% polling lead. Everyone thought she was going to win and Nate Silver gave her over a 90% chance of winning. But then came the Comey letter. 

His letter also came after the release of Trump’s “pussy grabber” tape. The media narrative switched from “pussy grabber” to “FBI re-opens Clinton E-mail Probe.” The headlines became anti-Clinton rather than anti-Trump. And in American culture, media momentum is huge. That’s why they call it an “October Surprise.” Late deciding voters heavily broke for Trump due to the Comey letter and that’s what made the difference. 

Hillary ordered a complete analysis of the election and the Comey letter was the only new variable from her 11-point polling bump after the 3rd debate to election day. “Pussy grabber” was old news. “E-mails” became front and center yet again. This is why there is currently an independent review of Comey’s actions as we speak. Official protocol says to never release anything about a case if it may sway an election. Why? Because it might turn out to be false. Just like what happened. Comey ultimately retracted the letter in the final hours of the election, but the damage had already been done. Hillary was finished. Her 11-point debate lead – gone. That’s why there is currently an official investigation into Comey breaking official protocol and swaying the election in Trump’s favor. Once this investigation is complete, I’m sure you’ll be hearing from the Clintons.

5. Sexism. The 2016 election proved a far more qualified woman can still lose to a far less qualified man. Actually, Hillary was the most qualified person (man or woman) to ever run for the Presidency. Any man with Hillary’s accomplishments and qualifications never would have lost. It wouldn’t have even been close. Period.

6. Russian interference. We’ll never know exactly how much Russia swayed the election, but the influx of “fake news” targeting Hillary Clinton definitely had an impact on her public perception, especially in regards to her “trustworthiness.” Putin had a vendetta against Hillary because he held her responsible for the protests he faced after his re-election. He also thought Hillary would be far more aggressive and effective than Obama. He’d rather have a puppet and buffoon as President (Trump) than the brilliant Hillary Rodham Clinton.

7. The media. Hillary’s e-mails were made to seem just as bad as the millions of horrific things Trump did over the course of his 4-times bankrupt career. The false equivalence was mind-boggling. In the pursuit of trying to appear “un-bias” by saying both sides were equally corrupt, they ended up being bias against Hillary and helping Trump win the Presidency. The actual un-bias viewpoint is that nothing Hillary has done is anywhere near the level of deplorable things Trump has done. But the media made Hillary seem just as bad as Trump in order to give the impression that they were being “objective.” 

I truly hope the media did some soul-searching after the 2016 election. Tearing down Hillary and glorifying Trump – giving rise to his “cult-of-personality” has really bitten you in the ass, hasn’t it? Now you have at minimum 4 years of covering a manipulative propaganda artist con-man who just likes to play head games. Have fun!!

8. Republican witch-hunts. Republicans abused their power, which led to 8 separate Benghazi investigations. More investigations than Pearl Harbor, the JFK assassination, and 9/11. Yet Hillary was never found of any wrongdoing and came out victorious after her triumphant 11-hour Benghazi testimony. Unfortunately, after so many fake “scandals,” Hillary’s image had been damaged. Which was the entire point of these fake scandals – even if Hillary isn’t guilty, we can still accuse her of corruption and plant seeds of doubt. But rather than viewing the Republicans as the corrupt ones, manufacturing fake Clinton scandals and wasting tax-payer money, many Americans drank the Clinton hate kool-aid (even progressives).

All of these factors led to the “perfect storm.” Which is why we needed every single vote in every single state. Yet Hillary still managed to win the popular vote by 3 million despite Russian interference, Bernie mania, multiple witch-hunts by Republicans, 11-hour Benghazi testimony, sexism, a media hell bent on false equivalency, a rise in worldwide racist nationalism, one party historically only occupying the White House for 8 years, and the devastating Comey letter. 

3 million more votes. Despite it all. A majority of Americans agree with our vision and our values. By the millions. And that’s not even taking into consideration ID laws and voter suppression of minorities, which greatly decreased the amount we won by.

“But, you know, then at the end, we had the Russians and the FBI deal. She couldn’t prevail against that. She did everything else and still won by 2.8 million votes.

The finest vote counter in America is Nate Silver. He told you what costed the election.” ~President Bill Clinton

A political icon and legend. Was going for round 3 in the White House. And we all know she ran it the first two times.

2

Maddie doesn’t want him to stay. She made that clear the moment West showed up at her door.

“I just need a ride,” she’d explained in a brisk voice. “And I didn’t have anyone else to call.”

Westley remembers frowning, his face twisted in concern. “Are you sure? I have work tomorrow, but I can-”

“No!” Madeleine had snapped, groaning as another contraction hit. “I’ll be fine, West. Just get me to the hospital, and please stop worrying so much.”

Still, as he watches the nurses wheel her away, Westley feels heavy with guilt. No woman should have to go through this alone, but especially not one as young, vulnerable, and inexperienced as Madeleine. With a sigh of regret, West turns to leave, but he promises himself that he’ll drop by the hospital tomorrow to check on her.

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Friendly reminder that I’m accepting wlw selfies!

Hey, if you’re not indigenous, don’t just go ahead and define what “two spirit” means. No one needs your “mix of male and female” shit. It’s our identity - we get to decide what it means for us.

This has been a PSA.

i crawled into my bed tonight under three blankets. my toes scraped against the cotton of my comforter as i shivered myself warm. all i could think was how much nicer climbing into bed would be if you were there too.