Michael Bloomberg has said he's considering running for President. Do you think he'd have a chance at the Republican nomination, or winning in November?
If Bloomberg jumped in, he’d probably be running as an independent. In my opinion, an independent candidate for the President could only win if they got in the race far earlier in order to build a stronger organization and guarantee that they would make it on to every state’s ballot. Running for President isn’t as simple as just saying, “I’m running”. It’s not just one big election – it is a separate election held simultaneously in each individual state, and most of those states have specific rules, guidelines, and deadlines for candidacy.
I also strongly believe that a true independent or third-party challenge for the Presidency would have to be years in the making and be accompanied by an effort that elected candidates to Congress, state legislatures, and Gubernatorial positions. In order for a third-party candidate to succeed, I don’t think it can be a unilateral campaign for the Presidency; it has to be a movement.