staph infection predictions

UFC UFN 30 Predictions, Prognostications and Prophecies

John Lineker vs. Phil Harris.

 

Harris recently suffered an orbital bone fracture, which led to this particular matchup being delayed until this event, while Lineker likes to finish via TKO. That combo spells bad news for Harris, in my book. - NZW

 

Lineker has failed to make weight in two of his last four bouts, and came in heavy again yesterday. While this is a trend that doesn’t bode well for the his future at flyweight, and may cause him cardio troubles if this fight goes long, with his ferocity and striking, he should be able to swarm Harris at some point early for the TKO victory. - CJG

 

Alessio Sakara vs. Nicholas Musoke

 

This is a tough one to call. Sakara has been on a bit of a downward slide as of late, coming off a trio of losses (the most recent being a DQ after he landed punches to the back of Patrick Cote’s head). However, the striking specialist is a vet in the Octagon and still dangerous. I know almost nothing about Nicholas Musoke, but the swede has been tearing it up and hasn’t lost a match since 2011. When in doubt, pick the man with experience. - NZW

 

Sakara doesn’t have a victory in the UFC since dispatching James “the most cursed fighter ever” Irvin over three years ago. However, the fact remains that Sakara is always dangerous, even when hurt, and was on the verge of finishing Cote in their short back and forth clash in Montreal before landing a series of illegal hammerfists that resulted in his DQ loss. Taking that performance into account (sans fouls), and the fact the Musoke is a replacement for Magnus Cedenblad and usually fights at 170, Sakara shouldn’t have too much difficulty getting back on the winning track with a KO/TKO victory over the Gustafsson training partner. - CJG

 

Norman Parke vs. Jon Tuck

 

This is going to be an exciting fight. Both are hungry, young fighters who nonetheless have considerable experience and impressive win/loss records. I give the edge to Parke because of his additional experience in the Octagon and on The Ultimate Fighter, as well as his nasty collection of submission victories.

- NZW

 

While “Stormin’” Norman Parke hasn’t generated the excitement of fellow Irishman Connor McGregor, he has won his two UFC appearances (albeit by decision) and could help with the UFC’s eventual plans to invade Ireland. Guam’s Tuck is undefeated, decisioning China’s Tiequan Zhang in his debut, but had to survive a scare from Zhang (who has shown he doesn’t belong in the big leagues) in the third. Given his skill set, the Irishman is the smart bet in this one, either by submission or decision. - CJG

 

Jimi Manuwa vs. Ryan Jimmo

 

I can’t help feeling that this is a bad matchup for Jimmo. We know he has KO power, but he tends to win via lacklustre decision; I predict Manuwa has too much ferocity, too much energy and overwhelming aggression to allow things to go that far. - NZW

 

Ryan Jimmo pulled the wool over everyone’s eyes when he debuted in the UFC, dispatching Anthony Perosh in seven seconds with his first punch of the fight: an overhand right. Those of us familiar with “the Big Deal” from his time ruling Canada’s MFC, however, knew this was an aberration, that Jimmo was more predisposed towards safe counter-fighting and coasting to uninspired decisions (just remember the travesty he laid against Sokoudjou). There’s no question Jimmo has talent, and power (as well as a complete lack of body hair, which is very weird), but hesitates to pull the trigger much of the time, even when it’s obvious he can overwhelm and finish his opponent or his the superior fighter. The real Jimmo reappeared for his last two fights (a decision win over Igor Pokrajac and a decision loss James Te Huna) where, despite having his opponents hurt in both contests, he chose not to go for the kill. Manuwa has won every one of his 13 fights by KO/TKO (save one submission) and is a destructive force that specializes in separating people from consciousness. For the sake of entertainment, let’s hope Manuwa can turn the trick again against Jimmo. However, the safe play is Jimmo by decision. - CJG

 

Ross Pearson vs. Melvin Guillard

 

I’m giving the edge to Pearson, but either way, I think someone is getting knocked the hell out. - NZW

 

Pearson often looks like an unstoppable juggernaut against fighters he has a distinct striking advantage over (i.e., George Sotiropoulos, Ryan Couture), but tends to falter against quicker stand-up artists with athleticism and power, even during his failed 145 lbs. experiment (his KO loss to Cub Swanson, for example). Back at lightweight for his last two contests (both TKO wins), Pearson is going up against a dynamic, athletic, powerful striker, in the form of Melvin Guillard. Despite the fact that “the Young Assassin” has a ton of miles on his body and his chin hasn’t looked outstanding in recent contests, Pearson is tailor-made for the man who regularly dropped Diego Sanchez in sparring to KO in spectacular fashion. While his fight I.Q. has been questionable in many instances, Pearson isn’t a threat to submit him, as this will be contested on the feet. Let’s just hope Melvin doesn’t wear the sunglasses on his way to the cage. - CJG

 

Mark Munoz vs. Lyoto Machida

 

Not long ago I would have never made this pick; I would have handed the fight to Machida in a heartbeat. The karate specialist has been on a slide as of late, however, with four out of his last seven fights being losses (albeit to extraordinary fighters like Jon Jones and Phil Davis). But even more than his record, he strikes me as not being in a good place mentally. Machida increasingly comes across as unfocussed, and his past association with Steven Seagal was just bizarre (and the pee drinking, let us never forget the pee drinking). I think Munoz takes him out. - NZW

 

Munoz looked like an absolute beast in his last fight, beating down Tim Boetsch like he was a child that told him professional wrestling wasn’t real. It was an impressive return, following his dismantling by Weidman and subsequent battles with depression and weight. However, Lyoto is simply on another level than almost anyone Munoz has faced. Everyone, save Phil Davis and his mom — Phil’s dad knows what’s up — is well aware that Lyoto won that encounter, despite the horrible judging, and “the Dragon” has beaten far better strikers and MMA wrestlers than Munoz (who has impressive wrestling credentials, but has failed to translate them to domination in the Octagon). While Lyoto is replacing Bisping on this card and this is his debut at middleweight, Lyoto should have little trouble making weight (he was never a big LHW) and dispatching Munoz, who doesn’t have the striking to stand with Lyoto and who should struggle mightily against his takedown defence and speed/footwork. - CJG

UFC 165 Staph Infection Predictions and Commentary
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Natalie Zina Walschots:Prelims:Dustin Kimura over Mitch Gagnon As much as I would like to go with Mitch, Kimura’s star is steadily in ascension at the moment and I don’t believe the Canadian submission specialist can stop his momentum. Chris Clements over Stephen Thompson While Clements’ UFC career has so far been comprised of a split decision win and an NC, after his opponent, Matthew Riddle, pissed hot, hopefully he’s comfortable enough now to bring back some of those KO and TKO victories we saw in other organizations. Ivan Menjivar over Wilson Reis I really like what I have been seeing from Reis in Bellator and other promotions, but Menjivar had a great showing against Gashimov and was holding his own before Uriah Faber overwhelmed him. UFC experience wins this one. Myles Jury over Mike Ricci Jury finishes strong and is a varied, dynamic fighter capable of wining by KO or TKO, as well as submission. Ricci has a lot of decisions in his win column, and I don’t see Jury letting things go to the judges. Main CardKhabib Nurmagomedov over Pat Healy I always bet on Russians, especially Combat Sambo World Champions. Healy’s been having a good run (aside from testing positive for marijuana and having to hand back Submission of the Night honours, tsk-tsk), but Nurmagomedov is a bad, bad man. Let’s hope he makes weight. [Editor’s note: he did and was very happy about it.] Costa Philippou over Francis Carmont I am super-excited for the fight. Philippou is coming off a vicious win over Tim Boetsch, where everything that could go wrong for the Barbarian did (I still love you, Tim!). Carmont has looked solid over both Lawlor and Larkin, but has been earning decisions, whereas Philippou is a wrecking machine. Matt Mitrione over Brendan Schaub Here’s a matchup and a half. Both men have football backgrounds (Mitrione played for both the Giants and Vikings, while Schaub made the Bills’ practie squad). Both have been KO’d recently, with Schaub sporting a particulary worrying string of knockout losses before recently winning against Lavar Johnson. Mitrione has a better chin and a slight edge, but this one is going to be close.

Renan Barão over Eddie Wineland
Barão is either going to grind Wineland out and win a decision or catch him in a submisson, assuming he can avoid Wineland’s hands, which he should be able to.

Jon Jones over Alexander Gustaffson On one hand, Gustaffson presents an extremely interesting challenge to Jones, with his length and reach, as all the promo have proclaimed. Jones’s impenetrable reach advantage isn’t going to be as dominant as usual. That said, I can’t see him besting Jones, in terms of speed, and Jones’s ground game is still preternatural. It’ll be an interesting fight, but the end is a foregone conclusion. Christopher “Bearshark” Gramlich:Dustin Kimura over Mitch Gagnon Considering his last name, it would be nice to see Dustin win a bit more by his namesake submission. That said, Mitch Gagnon is on the card because he’s Canadian (and this fight is in Toronto, Ontario, Canada) and a stiff, but winnable challenge for Dustin. While national pride wants Gagnon, Dustin will win, but not by Kimura. Stephen Thompson over Chris Clements “Wonderboy” lost to Matt Brown his last time out, by decision. However, these days, there’s no shame in that. Thompson’s Machida-ish striking will allow him to either score a TKO or out-point Clements for the win. Why Thompson doesn’t come out to Tenacious D’s titular anthem though, is beyond me. Ivan Menjivar over Wilson Reis Reis has been a BJJ champion and Bantamweight holder in the forgotten, defunct EliteXC promotion. However, getting cut after losing a couple in Bellator doesn’t inspire a great deal of optimism for his UFC debut. That said, Canadian MMA trailblazer Menjivar was recently out-grappled by Uriah Faber in their fight, losing by RNC, and Reis has the grappling pedigree to follow suit. The dreaded “Octagon jitters” will hit Reis though, and Menjivar will rebound with a decision victory. Miles Jury over Mike Ricci With Ricci coming off of four decisions in his last four fights, trading wins and losses, with Jury clearly on the upswing, this isn’t a difficult contest to call. Ricci trains at TriStar with GSP and Rory MacDonald, but it won’t matter. Miles is well-rounded (with five subs, six KOs/TKOs and one decision), so the potential finish is difficult to predict, especially with Ricci losing two of his three by decision, but there’s no doubt that the Jury is in. Main CardPat Healy over Khabib Nurmagomedov Pat Healy shocked the UFC and MMA world when he out-of-the-blue beat down the ultra-tough Jim Miller, with Miller on the cusp of a possible title shot at 155. That the fight was deemed a no-contest after Healy tested positive for the sweet leaf takes nothing away (save his Sub of the Night bonus) from his jaw-dropping, eye-opening performance. Nurmagomedov is undefeated and has won all four of his UFC appearances; he’s also nailed some sweet throws in the Octagon. However, Nurmagomedov isn’t ready for this giant step-up in competition, in what will likely be a Fight of the Night contender. Healy will do what he does, grinding on Nurmagomedov, wearing him down, submitting him late in the fight and making his case for a title shot in the not too distant future.  Costa Philippou over Francis Carmont Carmont is currently undefeated in the UFC (with five wins), but has been rather hesitant to pull the trigger in his fights, pausing when he should be going for the kill, as well as displaying some lacklustre cardio and generally not being very exciting. Philippou is coming off his biggest win, over the Barbarian, and while he had some breaks go his way in that fight (an eye poke and injury to Boestch), there’s no denying that Philipou is the smart pick in this one and a few notches above Carmont. Will his departure from the Serra-Longo camp hinder him? Possibly. Will it be enough for Carmont to get the win? No, no it will not. While we’ll miss hearing Serra scream, “Breathe, Costa!!!” at the top of his lungs, Philippou will win this one by TKO. Matt Mitrione over Brendan Schaub It’s no secret that Schaub doesn’t have the best beard in the sport. Mitrione is big, athletic, takes a better shot than Schaub and hits very, very hard. Schaub is a better technical striker and overall mixed martial artist than Mitrione, but it’s difficult to erase the images of Big Nog and Rothwell turning Schaub’s lights out, Schaub air-grappling or shooting instantly on Lavar. While Schaub does have all the tools (save one) necessary to win this, his chin will once again fail him. Mitrione by brutal KO. Renan Barão over Eddie Wineland If you’re aware of Eddie Wineland’s backstory (especially regarding his younger brother), it’s hard not to love, and root for, him. That said, the former WEC Bantamweight title holder is incredibly overmatched in this fight against interim UFC Bantamweight champion Renan Barão. While technically sound, striking-wise, with good takedown defence and heavy hands for 135, Barão is simply on another level. While Wineland can be compared to (a simplified version of) Michael McDonald, Barão ran through the future of the Bantamweight division with ease in his last fight and will do the same to Wineland. Barao by submission. Jon Jones over Alexander Gustaffson Speaking of fighters on another level than their competition, Jon Jones is on another planet when it comes to the talent in the 205 division. The light heavyweight kingpin has only been in any type of adversity twice in his nearly 20-fight career: when Vitor surprised him with an armbar from guard (the closest anyone has come to legitimately defeating the champ) and when Machida won a whole round against him striking in their encounter. Let that sink in for a moment: he’s had 19 fights and only been anything less than dominant in two instances. Gustaffson is physically comparable (at least in size and reach), but has some defensive deficiencies striking that allow higher level opponents to hit him and has neither the wrestling pedigree nor the BJJ skills to trouble Bones. While many are predicting that Jones will take Gustaffson down quickly and annihilate him with his Fedorocious ground and pound, look for that champ to keep it standing to prove a point, eventually gaining his first knockout victory.