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FOX Renew/Cancel standings, week 20: 'Lucifer' is, at the moment, likely to be renewed

When “Lucifer” premiered to a solid 2.4 rating two weeks ago, the assumption was that “The X-Files”* gave it an artificial boost and it would drop off sharply soon.

(*For the record, the Bear isn’t tracking “The X-Files” as renewal depends as much on logistics as it does ratings.)

Then episode 2 held up pretty well, scoring a 2.0 and retaining its lead-in at just about the same rate. It’s still early yet, and in three weeks’ time “Lucifer” will have a smaller lead-in when “The X-Files” goes away. But for now, the show’s looking like a good bet to return.