notable new york

anonymous asked:

what do you think of the failure of minimum wage in seattle? good warning not to try that shit in in ontario imo. it was all predicted by great man milton friedman.

dean baker did a pretty good analysis of why it’s probably not a very good study.

This finding was quickly picked up in every major news outlet. While some, notably the New York Times, reported the finding with appropriate cautions, others (e.g. here, here, here, here, and here) were nearly gleeful at the idea that workers in Seattle were losing their jobs. Most of the reporting ignored the fact that the same week a team of researchers from Berkeley produced an analysis using a very similar methodology that found no statistically significant impact on employment.

There are important differences in the studies. The Berkeley study follows much prior research and only looks at the restaurant industry, a major employer of low wage workers. The University of Washington NBER paper looked at all workers getting paid less than $19 an hour. It also had two additional quarters of data. However, the Washington study also excluded the roughly 40 percent of the workforce that worked at multi-site employers (think Starbucks and McDonald’s).

In other words, it it not obvious that the Washington study is the “better” analysis. The Berkeley team has produced much of the cutting edge research on the minimum wage over the last fifteen years. I doubt that many of the reporters touting the Washington study would be able to explain why it is a better analysis of the impact of Seattle’s minimum wage hikes.

Personal Care (Bucky Barnes x Reader)

Originally posted by thesebbystan

Prompt: Hey there doll, I just read every single one of your Bucky fics, and I’ve got a bit of a personal request. I struggle with really shitty mental health (depression, anxiety, anorexia) and the hardest thing lately has been my body dysphoria. So I was hoping for a Bucky fic that tackles that on some level? Preferably modern Bucky, but I know you love 1940s!Bucky too. Just some fluffy stuff. If you don’t feel comfortable with this prompt, I understand! xx

A/N: Dear the very brave anon who sent this to me- I hope that you are well and having a good day. If you ever need to vent, my inbox is open. I can’t do much, but I’ll do what I can. I hope that this particular story does a little bit to help ease your mind. 

Keep reading

5

The Springfield Model 1842,

The Springfield Model 1842 percussion musket had a lot of firsts for the US military.  It was the first American percussion lock military arm, and it was the first US military arm to completely utilize interchangeable machine made parts. However, while the Model 1842 was also a notable last in American arms history, being the last smoothbore musket produced in the United States and the last .69 caliber musket in the US. 

With an overall length of 58 inches and a weight of ten pounds, the Springfield Model 1848 was produced to bring the US Army into the age of the percussion lock. It was primarily used in the Mexican War from 1846 to 1848. Later it was common with both the Union and Confederate armies during the American Civil War. While the M1842 was a leap in technology for American military arms, it was also notable for being the last of an old technology going back to the 16th century; the smoothbore military arm. Until the invention of the conical minie ball, most military firearms were smoothbore. Rifled arms were difficult to produce, and slow to fire due to it being difficult to load. For a bullet to be accurate it must tightly fit into the bore in order to make contact with the rifling, typically done with a tight fitting patch. This meant that the user would have to cram the ball against the rifling in order to load. For the common infantryman in combat, it was much simpler to just use a smoothbore with an under caliber ball, regardless of the decreased accuracy and range. Rifles were relegated to specialized troops such as sharpshooters, skirmishers, and light infantry.

The Model 1842 may have been a smoothbore, but the designers at the Springfield Armory were looking ahead into the future when they created the M1842. One of it’s features was a thicker than normal barrel. This was in expectation that someone would invent a fast loading bullet that could be used in rifles, and thus the M1842 would need to be rebored and rifled in the future. Indeed, this was the case as tens of thousands of M1842′s were converted to rifled muskets for the American Civil War. Originally the M1842 lacked a rear sight, which was common with smoothbore muskets, however, sights were typically added a part of the conversion process.

While many M1842′s were converted into rifled muskets, many others were not. Such smoothbore muskets were common in the Confederate Army because the South lacked the industry and technical know-how in order to convert them. Some units in Union Army used them as well. One notable example was 69th New York Infantry (Irish Brigade), who were armed with them because it’s commander, Brig. Gen. Thomas Meagher, chose the weapon for the brigade, to be loaded with buck and ball cartridges which he believed to be more effective in combat. While the buck and ball cartridge was devastating from the M1842 at short range volleys, the Irish Brigade suffered terrible casualties from being armed with a short range weapon.

The Springfield Model 1842 began production in 1844, and ended with the adoption of the Springfield Model 1855 rifled musket. Around 275,000 were manufactured.

3

HISTORY MEME → [8/10] Moments: Global surveillance disclosures

Ongoing news reports in the international media have revealed operational details about the United States National Security Agency (NSA) and its international partners’ global surveillance of foreign nationals and U.S. citizens. The reports mostly emanate from a cache of top secret documents leaked by ex-NSA contractor Edward Snowden, which he obtained whilst working for Booz Allen Hamilton, one of the largest contractors for defense and intelligence in the United States. In addition to a trove of U.S. federal documents, Snowden’s cache reportedly contains thousands of Australian, British and Canadian intelligence files that he had accessed via the exclusive “Five Eyes” network. In June 2013, the first of Snowden’s documents were published simultaneously by The Washington Post and The Guardian, attracting considerable public attention. The disclosure continued throughout 2013, and a small portion of the estimated full cache of documents was later published by other media outlets worldwide, most notably The New York Times (United States), the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, Der Spiegel (Germany), O Globo (Brazil), Le Monde (France), L'espresso (Italy), NRC Handelsblad (the Netherlands), Dagbladet (Norway), El País (Spain), and Sveriges Television (Sweden).

These media reports have shed light on the implications of several secret treaties signed by members of the UKUSA community in their efforts to implement global surveillance. For example, Der Spiegel revealed how the German Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND) transfers “massive amounts of intercepted data to the NSA”, while Swedish Television revealed the National Defence Radio Establishment (FRA) provided the NSA with data from its cable collection, under a secret treaty signed in 1954 for bilateral cooperation on surveillance. Other security and intelligence agencies involved in the practice of global surveillance include those in Australia (ASD), Britain (GCHQ), Canada (CSEC), Denmark (PET), France (DGSE), Germany (BND), Italy (AISE), the Netherlands (AIVD), Norway (NIS), Spain (CNI), Switzerland (NDB), Singapore (SID) as well as Israel (ISNU), which receives raw, unfiltered data of U.S. citizens that is shared by the NSA.

On June 14, 2013, United States prosecutors charged Edward Snowden with espionage and theft of government property. In late July 2013, he was granted a one-year temporary asylum by the Russian government, contributing to a deterioration of Russia–United States relations. On August 6, 2013, U.S. President Barack Obama made a public appearance on national television where he told Americans that “We don’t have a domestic spying program” and that “There is no spying on Americans”. Towards the end of October 2013, the British Prime Minister David Cameron warned The Guardian not to publish any more leaks, or it will receive a DA-Notice. In November 2013, a criminal investigation of the disclosure was being undertaken by Britain’s Metropolitan Police Service. In December 2013, The Guardian editor Alan Rusbridger said: “We have published I think 26 documents so far out of the 58,000 we’ve seen.”

The extent to which the media reports have responsibly informed the public is disputed. In January 2014, Obama said that “the sensational way in which these disclosures have come out has often shed more heat than light” and critics such as Sean Wilentz have noted that many of the Snowden documents released do not concern domestic surveillance.] In its first assessment of these disclosures, the Pentagon concluded that Snowden committed the biggest “theft” of U.S. secrets in the history of the United States. Sir David Omand, a former director of GCHQ, described Snowden’s disclosure as the “most catastrophic loss to British intelligence ever”

[A collection of best books of 2015 lists - we’ll be updating continuously as more lists come out!]

[A collection of best books of 2014 lists - we’ll be updating continuously as more lists come out!]

Adult Lists

Amazon’s Best Books of the Year: The Top 100 in Print

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Arts and Photography

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Audiobooks

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Biographies and Memoirs

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Business and Investing 

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Comics and Graphic Novels

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Cookbooks and Food Writing

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Crafts, Home, and Garden

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Digital Singles

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Fashion

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Gift Picks

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: History

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Humor and Entertainment

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Literature and Fiction

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Mystery, Thriller, and Suspense 

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Nonfiction

Amazon’s Best Books of 2013: Romance

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Science

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Science Fiction and Fantasy

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Short Stories

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Sports and Outdoors

Astoria Bookshop’s Best Books of 2014

The Atlantic Staff Picks 2014

The Atlantic Best Food Books of 2014

A.V. Club’s Favorite Books of 2014

Bill Gates’s Top 5 Books of 2014

Bloomberg: Politicians’ Best Books of 2014

Biographile’s Bookish Look at 2014

BookRiot Round Up: Best Books of 2014

The Boston Globe Best Sports Books 2014

Business Insider 12 Best History Books of 2014

Business Insider 15 Best Business Books of 2014

Business Insider 16 Best Nonfiction Books of 2014

Business Insider: Librarians Name Their Top Books of 2014

Bustle 25 Best Books of 2014

Bustle Writers’ Best Books of 2014

Buzzfeed’s 24 Best Fiction Books of 2014

Chicago Magazine: 2014’s Best and Worst Books of Chicago

Christian Science Monitory Best 10 Fiction Books of 2014

Eater 21 Most Essential Cookbooks of 2014

The Economist’s Best Books of 2014

Entertainment Weekly’s Best Comic Books of 2014

Examiner.com Best Books of 2014

Flavorwire: The 50 Best Independent Fiction and Poetry Books of 2014

Flavorwire 15 Best Nonfiction Books of 2014

Forbes Best Business Books

GoodReads Best Autobiography and Memoir in 2014

GoodReads Best Business Books of 2014

GoodReads Best Debut Authors of 2014

GoodReads Best Fantasy of 2014

GoodReads Best Fiction of 2014

GoodReads Best Food and Cookbooks of 2014

GoodReads Best Graphic Novels and Comics of 2014

GoodReads Best Historical Fiction of 2014

GoodReads Best History and Biography of 2014

GoodReads Best Horror of 2014

GoodReads Best Humor of 2014

GoodReads Best Mystery/Thriller of 2014

GoodReads Best Nonfiction of 2014

GoodReads Best Poetry of 2014

GoodReads Best Romance of 2014

GoodReads Best Sci-Fi of 2014

Hollywood Reporter’s Best Music Books of 2014

Huffington Post Best Books of 2014

Huffington Post Best Art Books of 2014

Hudson Booksellers’s Best Books of 2014

Hypable Best Books of 2014

Kansas City Star Best 100 Books of 2014

The L Magazine Best Books of 2014

Largehearted Boy’s List of Online Best of 2014 Book Lists

Library Journal’s Best Books of 2014

Los Angeles Magazine Best Music Books of 2014

Los Angeles Times Best Gift Books for 2014

Mashable: 21 Captivating Books of 2014

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel’s Top Ten Books of 2014

Minneapolis Star Tribune’s Best Fiction of 2014

Minneapolis Star Tribune’s Best Nonfiction of 2014

Mother Jones Best food Books of 2014 Part 1

New York Times 100 Notable Books of 2014

New York Times Book Review Top 10 Books of 2014

New York Times Best Wine Books of 2014

The New Yorker: Nine Great Poetry Books of 2014

NPR’s Book Concierge to the Best Books of 2014

NPR Best Cookbooks of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Best Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top 10 Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Comics of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Fiction Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Lifestyle Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Mystery/Thriller Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Nonfiction Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Poetry Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Religion Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Romance Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top SF/Fantasy/Horror Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly Author Favorites

Riffle.com Editor Picks: Best Fiction of 2014

Riffle.com Editor Picks: Best Nonfiction of 2014

Riffle.com Editor Picks: Best Science Fiction & Fantasy of 2014

The Root Top 15 Books of 2015

St. Louis Post-Dispatch Best Books of 2014

Scientific American: Best Physics Books of 2014

Seattle Times Top 35 Books of 2014

Seattle Times 11 Best Mysteries and Thrillers of 2014

SF Gate’s Best of 2014: 100 Recommended Books

Slate’s Staff Picks: Best Books of 2014

Slate’s Best Overlooked Books of 2014

Time’s Best Photography Books of 2014

Vogue’s Best Books of 2014

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Art

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Biography

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Civil War

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Design

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Fashion

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Food

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Leadership

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Nature

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Photography

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Reference

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Science

Wall Street Journal Reader’s Choice Best Books of 2014

The Washington Post’s 10 Best Books of 2014

The Washington Post’s Top 50 Fiction Books of 2014       

The Washington Post’s 5 Best Science Fiction/Fantasy of 2014

The Washington Post’s 5 Best Audiobooks of 2014

The Washington Post’s 5 Best Romance Novels of 2014

The Washington Post’s 5 Best Thrillers of 2014

The Washington Post Food Section’s Best Cookbooks of 2014

The Weekender Best Books of 2014: How Many Have You Read?

Wired Best Science Books of 2014

Wired’s Best Physics Books of 2014

WNYC’s Best Business Books of 2014

Children and Young Adult Lists

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Children’s Books

Amazon’s Best Books of 2014: Teens and Young Adults

GoodReads Best Middle Grade and Children’s of 2014

GoodReads Best Picture Books of 2014

GoodReads Best YA Fiction of 2014

GoodReads Best YA Sci-Fi/Fantasy of 2014

Huffington Post Best Picture Books of 2014

Kirkus Best Children’s Books of 2014

Mashable Top Ten YA Books of 2014

New York Times’s Best Illustrated Children’s Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Picture Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Middle Grade Books of 2014

Publishers Weekly’s Top Young Adult Books of 2014

Riffle.com Editor Picks: Best Young Adult Fiction of 2014

School Library Journal Best Nonfiction of 2014

School Library Journal Best Young Adult of 2014

School Library Journal Best Middle Grade of 2014

School Library Journal Best Picture Books of 2014

Wall Street Journal Gift Books: Children

The Washington Post: Best 2014 Books for Kids

Gwen Stefani has been notably absent from New York Fashion Week, but come September, that’s going to change.  “I am going to do something this September,” the singer said in a recent interview.  “The only reason I haven’t lately is because it falls when my kids go back to school and I was like, ‘Oh, I guess I will go to NYFW and miss my kid’s first day of kindergarten.’ No. This year it falls on a different week so I can be in both places.”  

Please Don’t Let the Political Revolution Die

Back on March 15th we told everyone we didn’t think Bernie could win. We wanted to be wrong and a few times after that, most notably before New York, I thought we might be. Unfortunately we were not wrong and barring something crazy, the nominee is going to be Hillary Clinton. Before some of you start typing me angry messages, let me explain why those angry messages are counterproductive. Not when you send them to me, but when you leave them around the internet for other people to see and take in.

Each time we made those posts saying we thought Bernie couldn’t win, we did so against the urging of the official campaign, and against what we knew our followers wanted to hear. It’s unfortunate but a certain part of the campaign process is intentionally blurring the lines and intentionally making your person seem better or more worthy of praise, it’s just how elections work. We did it to an extent, but personally I think being unrealistic with your expectations of victory is unfair. Bernie Sanders hasn’t dropped out yet, but he won’t be the nominee, he lost the primary process fair and square. The process IS rigged. That’s a fact. He still lost under the rules of that rigged process. It was rigged before Bernie entered and he campaigned knowing it was rigged. The behavior of people like Debbie Wasserman-Schultz and the media made it all worse. That’s also a fact. 

Holding your fingers in your ears and screaming at anyone who says Bernie lost won’t change that fact and all it does is legitimize everything our detractors say about us. 

We don’t like this. We’ve been posting Bernie content for over a year. Every day hours of my day have been devoted to Bernie and his cause. Every single day, for over a year. Even before he announced we were busy campaigning for him. We’ve been here from the beginning. We’ve watched his campaign grow from 3% in the polls to pose a real challenge to the biggest political machine in the history of the United States. We’ve watched his message change from a pretty singular focus on income inequality and Scandinavian Socialism, to a broad focus on economic, social, racial, and environmental justice. We helped Bernie continually defy the odds and forever change the political landscape of the United States. We can’t stop now. 

Throughout the entire primary process people branded us as idealistic, as too outlandish, as crazy, as unrealistic. If this campaign has taught you anything, remember that Bernie’s ideas are none of those things. The behavior I’ve seen in the last week, totally is. The political process sucks sometimes, I held my nose while I voted for Obama in 2012. The country is hurting and I’m not going to tell you who to vote for. Being vocally anti anything but Bernie at this point, is unrealistic. It shows how little some people know about American politics and the system we work within. I realize we’re trying to change that system, but that’s the whole point, it takes more than brute force. 

We need to organize. We need to reject the status quo and seek better information and more nuanced discussion. We need to consider the views of people we might consider outlandish. We need to focus on solutions, not conflict and sensationalism. Screaming #BernieorBust on Twitter and saying you’ll vote for Donald Trump because $hillary is evil, WON’T GET US ANYWHERE. It’s inviting, sometimes it feels really good, especially after everything that’s been pulled on us, but it won’t change the country. 

Being realistic and thoughtful is what will change this country and that is exactly what Bernie represents, no matter what anyone says. Nothing Bernie has said is unrealistic. Don’t let them take that away from us by being sore losers. Don’t let them brand the entire movement as not legitimate because of the vocal few who want to tear everything down in these next few weeks. This campaign has been unbelievably successful. Please continue to advocate for those ideas in every way and please understand that bashing people for having different opinions just proves everything the opposition has been saying about us. 

You’ve probably heard someone say, “If you believe that, I have a bridge to sell you!” But it’s unlikely you ever met someone who was serious when he said it. Unless you’ve met George Parker. In which case, you probably bought the bridge, too.

The 6 Ballsiest Con Men of All Time

#6. George Parker Would Like to Sell You the Brooklyn Bridge – Many Times

Parker was a master salesman who went the extra mile, producing authentic-looking paperwork to verify his claims. He was also persistent – he allegedly sold the Brooklyn Bridge an average of twice a week for years. Over and over, New York police had to forcibly stop Parker’s swindle victims from constructing toll booths, traffic barriers, and Road Warrior-style flamethrower outposts on the bridge that they believed they owned. Parker didn’t limit his swindling to the Brooklyn Bridge, either. Over the course of his career, he also sold pretty much every other notable New York landmark, including Madison Square Garden, the Metropolitan Museum of Art, Grant’s Tomb, and even the Statue of Liberty.

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Dear Fed: Please don't strangle a nascent housing boom

Maybe you need to be a gardener, like I am, to know how big these days are for Home Depot and Lowe’s. We are at the peak of planting season and these two chains are the go-to stores for everything garden – from seeds and fencing to flats and fertilizers – that is, unless you are organic and natural, like my garden is. No wonder Home Depot brings on 70,000 new associates just for this period, which is the equivalent of the Christmas holiday season for sales. They even call the second weekend in April their “Spring Black Friday” to note the traditional kickoff of gardening season.

It’s also the season for refurbishing your home after a long winter. You paint, you fix the roof, you get the shingles, you upgrade the windows – all the things that you don’t do during the winter. It’s worth the investment, given the sharp appreciation in home values, according to the Case-Schiller house index, which we just learned yesterday showed a 5% appreciation in the month of March.

Housing, which we know punches well above its weight in the U.S. economy, is beginning to get back to where it was before the Great Recession with the possibility of more than 1 million homes being built this year, double what we saw just a few years ago. Zillow’s chief economist, Stan Humphries, was quoted in The Wall Street Journal today saying that he believes we need 1.5 million new homes to keep up with the growing population.

These trends are probably why the so-called disappointing Lowe’s earnings number barely dinged the company’s stock and now both Home Depot and Lowe’s are on the upswing. Which brings me to the notion of the coming interest rate hike. We are beginning to hear chatter that if the Fed were to begin raising rates, there would be a surge of buyers who don’t want to miss the bottom in mortgage rates.

I could not disagree more.

This nascent housing boom could be threatened instantly by any rate hike. In fact, it is the industry I am most worried about. And, yes, while we may hear stories of rapid home price appreciation, I would contend that can be cured by building more homes, not raising interest rates.

More important, I want to stress the term “nascent.” Toll Brothers  this very morning said that right now sales are “choppy,” even as they are strong in some areas, notably, California, Texas and New York City. You don’t raise rates when things are “choppy.” You raise rates when things are humming and you are sure things are study enough that you don’t damage the trend or destroy it. We may just now be getting to 1 million housing starts. Why can’t the Fed wait until things are strong enough to sustain more than that, so we have more demand for everything from paint to wood to bedding to flooring, as well as kitchen, bath, appliances and tools, all of which are doing fine but have room to run.

There is a tremendous misconception by many Fed-heads that housing is hot enough and business is good enough in this country for the central bank to act. There’s a foreboding inevitability to all their discussions.

Here’s my advice to the Fed: Get more comfortable with being on hold until the dollar is truly turning down and housing sales are so strong that they need to be hemmed in by rates.

But we simply aren’t there yet. The gardens look great, but the robust home sales could easily prove to be ephemeral if the Fed simple determines that June or September must produce a rate hike or else.

Sure, I don’t want the Fed to be late, but there’s harm in being early, and we are still early when it comes to this key segment of the economy. Fed members who constantly blather about when and how much should stop the clock, stay close to the data, take time to smell the newly planted roses and, for heaven’s sake, shut up!