i'll get back on that now

Actually, uh, now is probably a good time to mention I’ll probably be taking a short break from this blog…

Needless to say I’ve been stressing out way too much lately, and since I’m not exactly the most… mentally well? person in the first place, it’s really getting to me.

I hope you guys will understand, and I’m sorry about that. You’re all phenomenal, but I just need a week or two to cool off, and then we’ll be back in business!

I might post some doodles here and there on my art blog @redmegaman if you’re interested, but just sit tight for now. Thank you all for understanding. ❤️

youtube

So I’m supposed to be working on my thesis but of course, that’s not happening, and instead I”m distracting myself with videos on the internet.

This one is on the Monty Hall Problem…and I personally didn’t understand it the first few times I read it, and then it clicked, and this video does a good job of communicating how it works.

The problem is as follows:

There are three doors, 1, 2, & 3, and behind one door is an amazing prize like a car or something, and behind the others are goats [which tbh I’d love a goat but maybe that’s the Palestinian in me]. Now, as a contestant, you must choose one of the three doors. Say you choose door number 1.

The host, knowing which prizes are behind each of the doors, then opens up a door number 3, containing a goat [never the prize], and you are then asked whether you would like to switch to door number 2, or stick with your original choice of door number 1. 

Would it be better for you to switch, to keep your initially selected door, or would it not make a difference either way?

Initially, I figured it wouldn’t make a difference, as there much simply be a 50/50 chance of the prize being behind one of the two remaining doors, meaning that there’s no point one way or the other, as neither will really “help” your chances.

And I was wrong. By switching to the remaining door, you increase your chances from your initial 1/3 to 2/3, whereas sticking with the previous door keeps you locked into that initial 1/3 chance.

[Added bonus story to further contribute to my procrastination: A reader submitted this question back in 1990 to Marilyn vos Savant, a columnist who was at one point the Guinness World Record holder for having the highest recorded IQ [I wont bother getting into the numerous issues with that or IQ tests in and of themselves, which contributed to Guinness to drop such a record not too long after], and she answered the question properly, saying it would be in your best interest to switch.

As a result of her seemingly counter-intuitive answer, she was flooded with countless letters of people disagreeing with her, an overwhelming number of which were male mathematicians/statisticians/academics who resorted to sexist insults and tropes to voice their disagreement, with some claiming her answer was bogus and derived of “improper female-logic”.

THAT story can be read here

Fun fact: before knowing Kageyama’s name I called him potato head.

vine

They all struggled to hold in the giggles…god I love SHINee SO MUCH!

#SHINee ’s Back #1of1 Naver tvcast 161003

this is old, and also unfinished. i think i was just in the mood for drawing dresses at the time

anyone else kinda terrified you’ll never be able to hold a job in the future because of your mental illness

8

Some men are born to plow fields, some live to be great physicians, others to be great kings. Me? I was born to serve you, Arthur, and I’m proud of that, and I wouldn’t change a thing.

Food for thought…

With all the frustration, tension, and anger in the online Sherlock fandom following TFP, it occurs to me that when the “I love you” clip broke, I didn’t see a single post on the Sherlolly blogs I follow, that it just had to be Molly that Sherlock was saying I love you to.  I know it never even occurred to me, although I quietly, unobtrusively, ship Sherlolly.  I’m positing it’s because Sherlollians–when taken as a whole–don’t have that sense of entitlement that is a hallmark of the most insistent proponents of other ship pairings.  I like to think Sherlollians are generally as gentle (and as steel-spined) as the woman they fancy as a match for Sherlock Holmes.  Just my humble opinion, of course.

So anyway I’m ready to watch Jemma tear the universe apart to get Fitz back

Shit my fiancé said while I was making him watch Hannibal with me.

(First part can be found here. He had a major problem with Mason Verger and I don’t have the heart to tell him this character’s coming back oh no)

BONUS:

I’ve been working on a dragon age au for Hiccup in which he’s a city elf who lives with his mother, and balances his time between blacksmithing and research. Often times, he’ll leave the city for weeks on end to explore different forests and caves, excavating materials for his inventions. He frequently runs into darkspawn, but thankfully he has his bow and arrow, and Toothless: the whiniest, overbearing dragon in the entirety of Thedas to protect him.

Note: for those who haven’t read the book, Toothless’s personality and appearance are based off of his book version c: