Sennockian Star won this race last year but the ground goes against him today. The ground should suit Collaboration however, with his previous wins being on Good or Soft ground, and he should find no problem racing in a class 2 race. Blue Surf has had plenty of experience of running at Goodwood but hasn’t won at this distance for nearly 3 years. Ginger Jack may also find a struggle with the step up in class with his recent wins coming from class 4 races. Master The World may be in with a each way shot as long as he doesn’t find the ground too fast.
Welford has been running well recently, and should find no issue with the step up in class. Being trained by Mark Johnston also gives him an edge. Galileo Gold’s last time out win at this distance and on similar ground shows he could have a good chance here. Ibn Malik and Strong Challenge face quite a step up in class, but the latter may be able to surpass relatively easily. Birchwood may have won his last race at this class, but the softer ground could be a worry for him.
It’s likely to be a close race between Toormore and Dutch Connection with either one of them worthy of clinching the win. Toormore won this race two years ago on similar ground, and came second last year so would be looking to make it a hat trick, but hasn’t ran so well since. Dutch Connection however, has had better runs this year than Toormore, earning himself a win in the Jersey Stakes at Ascot.
Dutch Connection 5/2
Astronereus won last time out at this distance in a higher class and the only thing that goes against him is the Good-to-Soft ground. Notarised gets the pick with a win at Goodwood recently at the same distance, and a win on similar ground at Haydock last time out. Oasis Fantasy could prove to be the main rival to Notarised where he came second at the same distance as today at Goodwood in May. Ajman Bridge looks like he prefers a longer distance so may find 14 furlongs is where he shines.
Double Up has continually risen in class without any qualms and is sure to be up there today. Confessional and Top Boy could have an each way chance here having both come second on similar ground in races in May. Lady Gibraltar may have won at Goodwood in June at this distance, but she will probably struggle with the step up in class. Humidor’s form on the other hand shows he can be a bit hit and miss and the ground will probably go against him.
Double Up 11/4
With a number of runners making their debut race here, any one of them could be a surprise victor. Papa Luigi gets the edge having ran on Good-to-Soft ground and obtaining a place doing so, but this came from a Class 5 race so could be outclassed in this Class 2 race. He does seem the best out of the rest though with only Sir Roger Moore who may benefit from the step down in class than that at Royal Ascot.
Papa Luigi 9/2
Aqua Ardens will probably struggle here with her only wins coming from lower classes. Despite experience of the Goodwood track, Czech It Out is also likely to be hampered due to a higher class. Third Time Lucky has splendid form compared to the other horses and should travel well. Ifwecan should be in with an each way chance as long as the Good-to-Soft ground doesn’t put him off.
Third Time Lucky 13/2