When the Gods wish to punish us...
…they answer our prayers.
More impressive in Italian (Quando dio, ole castigarci al mondo, quello che desideriamo), but it’s the only way to describe Newt’s rise. There had been talk amongst Democrats that a Newt nomination would be great.
I still think that Mitt Romney will win the nomination, but not as much as before. I am starting to think there are very significant cracks in his campaign and we are less than a month away from the first contest in the GOP Primary. If the incessant polls aren’t annoying enough, just wait for the media to completely lose all inhibition when actual votes are being counted.
Who knows, maybe he has peaked and will plummet like all the contenders before, but if Newt maintains this lead, manages to win some early states, and somehow win the nomination, it will not be the easy romp to reelection for Obama that is believed. Newt may resemble a bumbling idiot, and frankly, he may actually be one. However, it is important to remember that he was the one that engineered the Republican majority of Congress in 1994. The ‘Contract with America’ may have been hokey, but let’s be honest, messaging works. Romney, in contrast, came out with a 59 point plan for the economy. I appreciate complexity and recognition that governing is not just about soundbites, but good luck selling it. Gingrich knows how to win and how to speak to the masses. He may not have the best ideas, but put side by side with Obama, he may actually look like his equal rhetorically. Not factually, but certainly on the stump.
The biggest reason why Democrats should fear a Gingrich nomination is the electorate. Newt, for the reasons mentioned above, will stay ‘in the game’ long enough to make it interesting. The election will be close and with the economy already in a precarious position without Europe’s troubles looming over the rest of the world, who knows where we will be this time eleven months from now. People can get desperate. I know where I am voting and I know what type of economic world view I prescribe to, but I also know that I am not other people. So much is up in the air, and in a close election, there could be just enough votes swinging to Newt in key states for him to actually win. It certainly won’t be a landslide, but it could happen.
Lesson: Be careful of what you wish for.