autumn campaign

this-firegrows-higher  asked:

What are some of your favorite books?

There are probably so many more books but that are all the ones I can think of right now

I’m looking around me and I know that we Germans complain a lot about politics, our own included, but right now we are basically blessed. We have elections in autumn and the campaign will be very heated (okay heated means saying that the politics of the others are shit, not digging up personal stuff) and we’ll complain how this party or that party is shit. Yet if I look at our actual options for chancellor it’s very likely Angela Merkel of the CDU (who is similar to Hillary Clinton in her politics, christ-democrats, conservatives) or maybe Martin Schulz from the SPD (more like Bernie Sanders, social-democrats). 

As there has to be a coalition Green Party (liberal, people’s rights, ecologic), Left (socialists), FDP (neo-liberals) might play a part as a junior partner.

Actually the worst thing that could happen for the EU is that Merkel wins with a huge margin and ends up in a coalition with the FDP. That would make a pro-economy, strong on austerity, government. It would lead to Germany exploiting the other countries even more than now, but would also mean a continuation of current policies to a big degree. Why is this likely? This coalition would mean the best for the German economy in short-term. They could make bigger profits. Many people think that if the rich make more money, it means it’s better for the poor as well. Conservatives all over the world are keen to keep this idea alive.

Most likely result: a big coalition of CDU and SPD with Merkel as chancellor. Then we’d have the same government as now with maybe a few different ministers.

Least likely: A government of centre-left, with SPD, Left and Green. That would actually be the best outcome for the EU. Members of the SPD are very pro-EU and actually very good friends with the new French president Macron and have written detailed plans for a “new EU” that are more about participation and less about austerity. The Left and the Green want to end the exploitation of other European countries. (Basically Germany is dumping wages here, which means the strong German economy is cheaper than it should be.) They want to do so by investing into German infrastructure and education and raising wages here. 

What definitely can’t happen here in the next election: Any kind of right-wing government. The right-wing idiots of the CSU (the sister party of the CDU in Bavaria) and their bigotted 1950s ideas are the worst we have to suffer and Merkel keeps them in check. As she does now most of the time. Really right-wing parties as the AfD won’t become part of any government here. Even if they make it into parliament (which is likely, even though they are on a decline), our party system prevents them from executing any power whatsoever.

In the end it will very likely be either option A or B, because Germans love continuity and even though the list of things Merkel does wrong or does wrong by not doing anything, her back-stabbing incidents, etc. is very long people still overall like her and no one dares to question or touch her.