Stephen-Emmott

8

We’re facing an emergency.

By the end of this century the population will be over 10 billion. And there aren’t enough resources for everyone.

This book won’t tell you to ‘do your bit for the environment’.

It won’t tell you to recycle.

It won’t tell you to buy an electric car.

It’s too late for that.

Stephen Emmott, the acclaimed scientist, shows us why time is running out. And what we really need to do about it.

Stephen Emmott’s Ten Billion book is now heading at my mailbox! I can’t wait to start reading it.


Credits:


1. Adapted from UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
2. Adapted from UN Environment Programme Water Statistics, 2008, FAO
3.
4. Adapted from US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook 2011 (EIA, 2011)
5. Adapted from data from the US Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
6. Adapted from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (UC San Diego) CO2 program, ŒClimate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis¹, Working Group 1 contribution to IPCC, Fourth Assessment Report, CUP 2007; C.M. MacFarling Meure et al. ŒLaw Dome CO2 CH4 and N2O ice core records extended to 2000 years BP¹, Geophysical Research Letters 33, 14 (2006)
7. Adapted from J.E. Hansen et al. Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2012: http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/temp/hansen/graphics.html8. Compiled from data from the US National Interagency Fire Center, 2010; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Report, 2005. Data for 2000-2010 are USA only.
9. Adapted from Steffen et al. ŒThe Anthropocene: From Global Change to Planetary Stewardship¹, AMBIO, October 2011 (Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences)
10. Adapted from data from the NOAA Ocean Climate Laboratory and World Ocean Databse; S. Levitus et al. World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0-2000 m), 1955-2010¹, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, 10, (2012)
11. Compiled from data from ICIMOD and UNEP-Grid Arendal, 2010; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Resport, 2005
12. Adapted from Steffen et al. The Anthropocene: From Global Change to Planetary Stewardship¹, AMBIO, October 2011 (Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences); FAO, The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2012 (FAO,2012); B. Worm et al. Rebuilding global fisheries¹, Science, 325 (2009)
13. Adapted from S. Pimm and P. Raven, Biodiversity: Extinction by numbers, Nature, 403 (2000); A. Barnosky et al. Has the Earth¹s sixth mass extinction already arrived?, Nature, 471 (2011).


Read an extract here: (http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/jun/30/population-growth-wipe-out-life-earth)

If we discovered tomorrow that there was an asteroid on a collision course with Earth and – because physics is a fairly simple science – we were able to calculate that it was going to hit Earth on 3 June 2072, and we knew that its impact was going to wipe out 70% of all life on Earth, governments worldwide would marshal the entire planet into unprecedented action. Every scientist, engineer, university and business would be enlisted: half to find a way of stopping it, the other half to find a way for our species to survive and rebuild if the first option proved unsuccessful. We are in almost precisely that situation now, except that there isn’t a specific date and there isn’t an asteroid. The problem is us. Why are we not doing more about the situation we’re in – given the scale of the problem and the urgency needed – I simply cannot understand. We’re spending €8bn at Cern to discover evidence of a particle called the Higgs boson, which may or may not eventually explain mass and provide a partial thumbs-up for the standard model of particle physics. And Cern’s physicists are keen to tell us it is the biggest, most important experiment on Earth. It isn’t. The biggest and most important experiment on Earth is the one we’re all conducting, right now, on Earth itself. Only an idiot would deny that there is a limit to how many people our Earth can support. The question is, is it seven billion (our current population), 10 billion or 28 billion? I think we’ve already gone past it. Well past it.

Science is essentially organised scepticism. I spend my life trying to prove my work wrong or look for alternative explanations for my results. It’s called the Popperian condition of falsifiability. I hope I’m wrong. But the science points to my not being wrong. We can rightly call the situation we’re in an unprecedented emergency. We urgently need to do – and I mean actually do – something radical to avert a global catastrophe. But I don’t think we will. I think we’re fucked. I asked one of the most rational, brightest scientists I know – a scientist working in this area, a young scientist, a scientist in my lab – if there was just one thing he had to do about the situation we face, what would it be? His reply? “Teach my son how to use a gun.”

—  Extract from Ten Billion, by Stephen Emmott.
BUY OR RENT THIS BOOK - basically read it.

It’s called ‘10 Billion’ by Stephen emmott

The blurb:

This book is about us.
It’s a book about you, your children, you parents, your friends. It’s about every one of us. It’s about our failure: failure as individuals, the failure of business, and the failure of our politicians.
It’s about the unprecedented planetary emergency we’ve created.
It’s about the future of us


Don’t worry, this book isn’t about veganism or anything like that. The author is a scientist at Cambridge (England). It has opened my mind and eyes a lot. My blinkers are off. I now see what is really happening.

- if you want an Earth to live on then read this book.

Brace yourself, and then check out what else Stephen Emmott had to say in the Guardian article: “Humans: the real threat to life on Earth.” Among other things, he wrote:

Let’s look at it like this. If we discovered tomorrow that there was an asteroid on a collision course with Earth and – because physics is a fairly simple science – we were able to calculate that it was going to hit Earth on 3 June 2072, and we knew that its impact was going to wipe out 70% of all life on Earth, governments worldwide would marshal the entire planet into unprecedented action. Every scientist, engineer, university and business would be enlisted: half to find a way of stopping it, the other half to find a way for our species to survive and rebuild if the first option proved unsuccessful. We are in almost precisely that situation now, except that there isn’t a specific date and there isn’t an asteroid. The problem is us. Why are we not doing more about the situation we’re in – given the scale of the problem and the urgency needed – I simply cannot understand. We’re spending €8bn at Cern to discover evidence of a particle called the Higgs boson, which may or may not eventually explain mass and provide a partial thumbs-up for the standard model of particle physics. And Cern’s physicists are keen to tell us it is the biggest, most important experiment on Earth. It isn’t. The biggest and most important experiment on Earth is the one we’re all conducting, right now, on Earth itself. Only an idiot would deny that there is a limit to how many people our Earth can support. The question is, is it seven billion (our current population), 10 billion or 28 billion? I think we’ve already gone past it. Well past it.

Science is essentially organised scepticism. I spend my life trying to prove my work wrong or look for alternative explanations for my results. It’s called the Popperian condition of falsifiability. I hope I’m wrong. But the science points to my not being wrong. We can rightly call the situation we’re in an unprecedented emergency. We urgently need to do – and I mean actually do – something radical to avert a global catastrophe.

“Over one billion people are living in conditions of extreme water shortage. Yet our consumption of water is accelerating rapidly. Seventy percent of earth’s available fresh water is used for agriculture.”

-Stephen Emmott –“10 Billion”

We can rightly call the situation we’re in an unprecedented emergency. We urgently need to do – and I mean actually do – something radical to avert a global catastrophe. But I don’t think we will. I think we’re fucked. I asked one of the most rational, brightest scientists I know – a scientist working in this area, a young scientist, a scientist in my lab – if there was just one thing he had to do about the situation we face, what would it be? His reply? “Teach my son how to use a gun.”
—  Extract from Stephen Emmott’s ‘Ten Billion’, which ponders humanity’s chances as our population approaches that number.

Stephen Emmott’s Ten Billion is a newly-released book by Penguin. The book’s premise lies on the fact that we are living in an ethnocentric world - in a place where humans dominate the planet in terms of consumption - while, everyone suffers as a repercussion of their inimitable thirst to conquer the world: that includes the nonhumans such as animals, and the environment.

10 Billion’s presentation of facts become exciting as it connects them with stunning historical photographs from different countries of the world. The graphs found in the book are worth looking for in a sense that they somehow give a preview of the future when we humans don’t change our ways.

The author is a scientist, and one will expect that this is his perception of what will happen extracting from what he has researched and learned throughout his job. What he sees is a warning for everyone`s future.

What I like about the book is that it shows how we deal with everything that surrounds us. It shocks me in a way that I realize that while interacting with our current life on earth, in a sense, we automatically interact with our future. The present makes real sense as we are the ones who are painting our future.