!dkk

Being stuck in an elevator with Seventeen

S.Coups: “don’t be afraid, I got this” - mental breakdown

Jeonghan: stuck in an elevator - still fabulous, taking selfies 

Joshua: prays to god

Jun: insults the elevator in chinese

Hoshi: starts playing games on his mobile phone

Wonwoo: “In order to stay alive, we all have to take our clothes off

Woozi: prepares his last words for the world

DK: “well.. you remember what they did in the movie we watched recently?”  

Mingyu: whispers “eat or be eaten..”

The8: starts crying, you hold him in your arms

Seungkwan: panically pressing all the buttons

Vernon: starts flirting with you 

Dino: tries to call his mom, realises Jeonghan is right next to him

Woozi’s farewell letter is coming soon, check out our blog ;)

The expected net profit of playing the lottery

When you play the lottery, you’re betting against some very small probabilities, but since the prizes can be rather large sums of money, one could wonder what the net profit of playing would be on average.
In this post, I’ll explore that thought, using the Danish lottery (and DKK as currency) as an example, which works like this:

Every Saturday, 7 winner numbers and 1 bonus number are drawn from a fancy machine with 36 numbered balls (first the winner ones, then the bonus). When you play the lottery, you pay to bet on which numbers are drawn, and depending on how many you get right, you win some amount of money.


THE PROBABILITIES

The first thing we need is to work out the probabilities of matching the drawn numbers. For this, we will make use of the binomial coefficient (read “n choose k”) defined as binom(n, k), 

The binomial coefficient is the number of ways you can choose k out of n elements without regard to order (by convention, binom(n, 0) = 1).

The probability of getting k out of the 7 winner numbers right is thus:

where binom(7, k) is the number of ways we can have k out of 7 winner numbers, and it’s multiplied by the number of ways you can have the remaining 7-k out of 29 non-winner numbers, binom(29, 7-k), giving us the number of combinations of betting numbers that match k winner numbers. This is then divided by the number of ways the 7 winner numbers can be drawn from the pool of 36, giving us the probability of the event.

Note that the above equation doesn’t hold for k = 6, since that’s where the bonus number comes into play. Here, we have

and 

where in both cases we have binom(7, 6) ways to match 6 of the 7 winner numbers, and for each of those, we have 29 ways to miss the last winner number. Then, in the no bonus case, we have 28 ways to miss the bonus number (since for each combination of winner numbers, there are 29 leftover balls to draw a bonus ball from), whereas in the bonus right case, we have 1 way to match the drawn bonus number. Divided by the number of combinations of winner numbers and bonus number, this gives us the probabilities of the events.


THE EXPECTED VALUE OF A BET

For this part, we’re considering the payout of playing the lottery as a random variable, a real-valued variable that gets its value from the random ‘experiment’ of drawing the lottery numbers.

Formally, the expected value of a random variable X is

and it denotes an average of the values X can have, weighted by their corresponding probabilities. Letting X be the lottery payout, each xk is the payout corresponding to matching k winner numbers, and it’s weighted by the probability of getting said payout (when k goes above 7, the probabilities become 0 and those terms vanish).
Since we now know the probabilities, we just need some payout figures.

They vary from week to week, but for this example let’s use these figures (from the draw at 2015-09-05) as they are relatively average:

  • 7 winner numbers: 6,504,259 DKK
  • 6 winner + bonus number: 195,156 DKK 
  • 6 winner numbers: 2,247 DKK 
  • 5 winner numbers: 122 DKK
  • 4 winner numbers: 42 DKK
  • 0-3 winner numbers: 0 DKK

Evaluating the expected value with these figures yields E[X] = 1.69 DKK.
However, playing the lottery isn’t free, and in the Danish lottery it costs 4 DKK per bet. Thus, the theoretical average net profit given the figures used is

–2.30 DKK,

a negative number, and therefore a loss for the player.

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Take a Rare Tour of the LEGO Production Facility in Denmark 

As far as factory tours go, the LEGO Inside Tour at the LEGO production facility in Billund, Denmark exists in a league of its own.

Assuming that you can grab a spot on one of the four scheduled LEGO Inside Tour weekend dates that take place in May and June of each year, the price per person is DKK 14.500 – approximately $2,200 – not including travel expenses. Granted, the in-depth tour does include a two-night stay at Hotel LEGOLAND, but for those that simply want to see some juicy injection molding action, this factory tour is best left to diehard LEGO fans.

It’s no wonder, then, that the LEGO legal and marketing crew has prohibited any filming inside of the facility during the lengthy tour – which includes everything from meeting with LEGO designers and a step-by-step walkthrough of the production process to a visit down LEGO Memory Lane. Thankfully, the company made the rare exception for self-described “prolific LEGO Technic builder” Pawel “Sariel” Kmiec of the YouTube channel Sariel’s LEGO Workshop and let him record the tour for the rest of us schmucks to enjoy.

At nearly 20 minutes, this comprehensive armchair tour of where it all began is the perfect way to cap the end of the week:

SolidSmack

PLEASE HELP MY WONDERFUL DAD WIN A COMPETITION

You can do it by clicking this link and watching a 30-second video that my dad made. It’s a commercial for a Danish festival called Smukfest and he could win 125.000 DKK!!! Besides the fact that we could really use that money, here are some other reasons for you to watch this: 

  • My mom is dancing in a green wig in it
  • There’s a dog
  • It’s a really good video
  • There’s no dialogue so it doesn’t matter if you don’t speak Danish.
  • And my dad is the best dad in the world and he deserves to win this, so please please please just spend 30 seconds watching this. The competition is about creating a viral commercial so the judges are going to look at the number of views that all the videos have!! 

Please help me make my dad happy! Thank you and have a lovely day! 

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INI BANGEEEEET!!!
Makin sempit dah pilihan channel yang benar-benar bermutu. Ada juga segelintir channel yang cukup smart, tapi dipenuhi bumbu politik. Hadeuh, kalo aja net sampe ikutan kaya gitu mending pake tv berlangganan biar bisa nonton channel kece semacam natgeo, bbc, dkk nya.

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LEGO Creator Expert – Detective’s Office (10246)

Yes, it is gorgeous. As promised I didn’t bother you with the leaked image, but rather provide you with the real deal in high resolution.

Much like the Parisian Restaurant before, this set does not have a single focus, but rather many different sceneries happening in the diverse rooms and stories of this modular building (although one of the rooms gives the set its name).

So far Modular Buildings of this line have not seen any exclusive parts, so I wonder if this is changing or if the scissors are going to be used anywhere else soon.

LEGO’s official press release:

10246 Detective’s Office
Ages 16+. 2,262 pieces.
US $159.99 – CA $199.99 – DE 149.99€ – UK £132.99 – DK 1399.00 DKK
*Euro pricing varies by country. Please visit shop.LEGO.com for regional pricing.

[…]

Discover a world of mystery and adventure with the LEGO® Creator Expert Detective’s Office! Step through the open archway and into the barbershop, where seated customers are pampered in the reflection of a large wall mirror, while next door, competitors play pool and darts beneath the comforting whir of a rotating ceiling fan. Venture to the first floor and you’ll find the detective’s office, his desk strewn with clues, a safe containing valuable evidence and a concealed wall compartment. Then visit the adjacent bathroom, featuring a classic pull-chain toilet, before taking the stairway to the well-equipped kitchen, from where you can access the roof terrace, complete with large water tower. This latest addition to the LEGO Modular Building series is packed with unsurpassed detail and hidden surprises. Easy-to-remove roof and ceilings provide access to the delightful interior, while the exterior of the building features a decorative roofline and a beautifully designed façade. Can you solve the smuggling mystery? Includes 6 minifigures with assorted accessories: Detective Ace Brickman, Al the barber, dart player, pool player, police woman and a mysterious lady in red.

  • Includes 6 minifigures with assorted accessories: Detective Ace Brickman, Al the barber, dart player, pool player, police woman and a mysterious lady in red
  • Features a pool hall, barbershop, detective’s office, bathroom, kitchen, water tower and a cat
  • Detective’s office features a desk, assorted clues, brick-built lamp, filing cabinet, fan, safe, painting, concealed wall compartment, newspaper, menu, wanted poster and a wall lamp
  • Pool hall features a hinged, rotatable ceiling fan, pool table, printed dartboard, pool cues, pool balls and a drinking glass
  • Barbershop features never-before-seen scissors and reflective mirror element, 2 wall lamps, barber’s chair, hinged cabinet, 2 mannequin heads and a broom
  • Bathroom features a detailed pull-chain toilet
  • Kitchen features a stove, barrel, table, cabinet, refrigerator, wall clock and a rolling pin
  • Accessories include Ace Brickman’s brimmed hat, briefcase, magnifying glass and a police hat
  • Detach the roof and floors for easy access
  • Search for hidden clues
  • Help Ace Brickman solve the mystery!
  • Special elements include never-before-seen scissors and reflective mirror element, printed dartboard, wanted poster, 1×1 round plate with hole in black, painter’s roller in black, designing element 1x2x2 in dark gray, 1×2 bricks in light blue, 1×3 tiles in brown and a 32×32 base plate in brown
  • Detective’s Office measures over 10” (27cm) high, 9” (25cm) wide and 9” (25cm) deep
  • Collect and build an entire town with the LEGO® Creator Expert Modular Building series: 10232 Palace Cinema and 10243 Parisian Restaurant