Baseball Prospectus’ annual PECOTA projections came out yesterday, and the baseball nerd world is all shook up about it. The Dodgers are projected to win the West again, to the surprise of exactly nobody, while the Giants finish a humble second, 13 games back. They do host the wild card game in this wacky alternate universe though. They host the Padres, and boy that would be terrible.
The scary thing is that the Dodgers are projected to win 97 games. The 2011 Phillies were only projected to win 95 games, so the Dodgers are probably going to bully everybody (including the Giants) and waltz into the playoffs again. Remember when they did that last time?
That was fun. I had fun. There was chips and dip and everybody had lots of fun. I’d like to have that kind of fun again.
The Giants are projected at 84-78. Projection systems are generally conservative, but I can easily see the Giants finishing around that mark. The last two times they finished a season within four games of that record were 2011 and 2014. Say, both of those seasons were wall-punchingly awful/fun. This time a top prospect is going to get traded and the Giants are going to fuck with everybody and sweep the playoffs. And during the regular season, when they’re leaving dozens of runners on base and giving up several home runs to the Alexi Amaristas of the world, we’ll hate-watch every game because no one rational or sane picks baseball as their favorite sport.
The Giants are going to be ehhhhhhhh this year, everyone. Drink it in. Prepare for it. I can’t wait. But while you wait for that tire fire to start, watch this:
Oh yeah, that’s the stuff.