My school is less than an hour away from Oso. It is devastating. The number of deaths and missing people is overwhelming. If you can, please help. This is the worst natural disaster ever recorded in Washington State history. Even worse than Mt. St. Helens. My school is raising money for the people of Oso. Every penny counts. Guys, Oso is a small town. That’s a lot of people for a small town.

A Good Samaritan defied official orders to stay out of the mudslide debris that covered an area of Washington state. Kody Wesson managed to pull 22-week-old Duke Saddarth and his mother, Amanda Skorjanc, from the mudslide and get them the medical help they desperately needed.

For those of you wondering about the Oso mudslide here in WA

FEMA is turning people back at gunpoint.

Volunteers.

People bearing donations of food and clothing.

Concerned family members.

FEMA has the place locked down.

Some of my militia associates showed up with food, water, clothing, bulldozers and other such tools and heavy equipment.  They were literally turned away at gunpoint.

This is happening in my county.

Where is the news coverage on this?

Before and after photos show the reach of a square-mile-wide landslide that killed at least 14 people in Oso, Washington state on Saturday.  What appears to be a sandy line perhaps indicating erosion cuts through the trees in the picture on left — a line that appears to line up with the “top” of the landslide in the photo on the right; officials say that residents knew of the heightened risk of landslides for years.   (Photos: Google Earth [l.] and Ted Warren / AP via NBC News)

10

((This isn’t getting enough attention.

The Oso landslide happened on on Saturday march 22. and recovery has only been set back by heavy rain and thunderstorms

Over 30 are dead, and about 90 are missing- this is the biggest natural disaster in Washington history.

 Oso is two hours away from my home, and it’s frighting to see something happen so close, to close for comfort.

I love my home state because no matter where you go, there is that small town closeness, and there is always someone willing to help.

These people need help, and in any form will work. 

These people who survived this in oso are giving up their homes, to help their neighbor.

and they are working hard every day. and are in moarning of the love ones that they have lost.

you can donate here.

Any help is welcome, and needed. even if its not cash, donate clothes, food, blankets, medicine.

Please help the people affected by the Oso Landslide. 

you can find more information here))

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Oso Washington experienced a horrible tragedy on Saturday March 22, 2014 as a giant mudslide covered a mile of highway 530. The number of confirmed deaths is now up to eight and the reports of those missing is over 100 as this slide covered a number of homes in this rural community. This months record rains is what is thought to be the main reason for this unforeseen event. My thoughts are with those still searching for their loved ones and my heart breaks for their loss as this is a area of Washington that I visit often and the people who live there have always been so kind to me and my family. If anyone wants to donate any money for the relief efforts for those involved they cant text the RedCross to 90999 and a $10.00 donation will be charged to your cell phone bill. You can also donate by calling 1-800-REDCROSS or online to Northwest Response. 

REMAINS OF THE FALL  A resident walks through a debris field Monday in the wake of a massive landslide in Oso, Washington state.  At least 14 people are dead and 176 missing after a mile-wide swath of mountainside essentially turned into “quicksand” and cascaded onto the valley below.  The area has had double its normal rainfall in recent weeks; more rain is forecast for today. (Photo: Genna Martin / The Herald via AP / USA Today; caption via USAT)

Deadly mudslide in Washington

This image, taken from an airplane, shows the best view I’ve seen of a mudslide just east of the town of Oso in rural, northwestern Washington State.

The mudslide occurred at about 10:45 a.m. on the morning of Saturday, March 22nd along the Stillaguamish River. As of the time of this writing, there have been 8 people confirmed dead but today searchers stunned the press by reporting that the list of potential missing includes up to 108 names.

The searchers stress that the list includes vague descriptions like “John who once lived in this neighborhood”, so the total of missing should not be immediately interpreted as a possible death toll. The mudslide hit 49 different lots containing property, at least ½ of which were believed to be occupied full time, and buried Highway 530 – the only route to a nearby town of 1,359 called Darrington.

The slide also completely blocked the Stillaguamish River, reducing its output to a trickle. When landslides occur, they can completely block rivers, creating lakes behind them that eventually overtop the dam leading to a major flood. Flood warnings have been issued on the river, but most likely some degree of digging/dredging will open up a flow path to let the water slowly pass through.

The rocks that collapsed appear to be loosely-consolidated, possibly-glacial sediments. Similar events are common in this area; the state of Washington recently completed a $13 million project to stabilize a portion of hillslope on the opposite side of the river from this slide. Additionally, this area has endured significant rainfalls over the past several weeks, although there was no specific storm right before this slide. Instead, the amount of rain caused buildup of groundwater pressures in the area, and eventually this groundwater pressure allowed the hillslope to give way. Rainfall totals during the month of March in this area are about 300% above the average totals for the month.

Layering in the disrupted central block appears somewhat intact and can be seen in this photo; the slide broke away along an arcuate scarp and left debris piles that are reportedly up to 4.5 meters (15 feet) thick.

From here, search teams will have to simply dig through significant portions of that sediment to try to locate and identify those missing, in addition to digging through that big pile of dirt to prevent flooding on the river.

-JBB

Image credit: Washington State DOT via Reuters/NBC
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/deadly-mudslide/washington-mudslide-toll-rises-eight-least-18-missing-n59981

Read more:
http://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2014/03/23/oso-landslide-1/
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/03/140324-mudslides-natural-disasters-geology-science/
http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2014/03/24/oso_wash_mudslide_climate_change_may_bring_more_such_disasters.html
http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/23/us/washington-landslide/
http://www.latimes.com/nation/nationnow/la-na-washington-mudslide-108-missing-search-20140324,0,7984706.story#axzz2wu5DV3ch
http://www.stltoday.com/news/national/voices-crying-for-help-stop-in-washington-mudslide/article_7802d13b-177e-5bff-9ec3-117f9dd494e5.html

On March 22nd, 2014 just outside of Oso, Washington an enormous mudslide covering roughly one square mile destroyed almost 50 homes and devastated the surrounding community. 

From April 1st - 8th Raven’s Brew Coffee will donate 10% of our web sales to the United Way Disaster Recovery Fund for Mudslide Relief in Snohomish County.

Please help us support our Pacific Northwest neighbors. 

Oso, Washington - A memorial cross at Oso Community Chapel provides a place of solace, peace and comfort for residents devastated by the recent mudslide in Washington.

Please join us in praying for those who have lost beloved friends and families members and precious belongings—pray for the Lord’s peace that passes all understanding.

Sign Up to get Photo Prayer of the Day sent to your inbox!

14 dead, more than 170 people still unaccounted for in deadly Washington mud ...

14 dead, more than 170 people still unaccounted for in deadly Washington mud …

The landslide occurred about 10:45 a.m. PST on Saturday in Oso on Washington Route 530 between Arlington and Darrington, Wash., and destroyed at least six homes. Oso had a population of 180 people and 62 occupied 

A fatal mudslide in rural northwestern Washington State over the weekend underscores the dangers of this fast-moving natural hazard. On Saturday morning, a mudslide moved down the…

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New York Times Op-Ed writer Timothy Egan points out the cognitive dissonance regarding human environmental destruction and government in the wake of a mudslide in Washington that has left 25 people dead and 90 missing so far. He points out:

It is human nature, if not the American way to look potential disaster in the face and prefer to see a bright, shining lie….

    “This was a completely unforeseen slide,” said John Pennington, the emergency manager of Snohomish County. “It was considered very safe.” He said this on Monday, two days after the equivalent of three million dump truck loads of wet earth heaved down on the river near the tiny town of Oso. Unforeseen — except for 60 years’ worth of warnings, most notably a report in 1999 that outlined “the potential for a large catastrophic failure” on the very hillside that just suffered a large catastrophic failure.

Here’s the “Foretold Again” part, but first, I’d like to re-define the term referred to above as "a bright, shining lie."

"In 1957, Leon Festinger, one of social psychology’s most important theorists … proposed his theory of cognitive dissonance, which describes and predicts how we humans rationalize behavior.

Dissonance occurs whenever a person simultaneously holds two inconsistent cognitions (ideas, beliefs, opinions).

For example, the belief that the world will end on a certain day is dissonant with the awareness, when the day breaks, that the world has not ended.

Festinger maintained that this state of inconsistency is so uncomfortable that people strive to reduce the conflict in the easiest way possible. They will change one or both cognitions so that they will “fit together” better. This is especially true in situations in which a person’s self-esteem is at risk.

In these circumstances, individuals will go to great lengths of distortion, denial, and self-persuasion in order to justify their past behavior. When our self-esteem has been threatened by our own past behavior, we all have a powerful tendency to become rationalizing animals.” ~Anthony R. Pratkanis and Elliot Aronson, Age of Propaganda; The Psychology of Everyday Persuasion


So…You say “Oso Washington”?

I say “Love Creek Road” Ben Lomond California in the mountains above Santa Cruz, circa the winter of 1982/83.


The seven (+-) year-long drought had broken and there had been a steady regime of drizzly rain for a week or so… Then the sky opened up pouring rain on the whole Monterey Bay area for a day and more. The ground, friable from years of drought and already waterlogged, began moving downhill into the San Lorenzo River along with small creekside homes and shacks… full size redwood trees, which battered and destroyed 3 of 4 bridges entering Santa Cruz, swamping downtown in some places despite a levee, and partially inundating the smaller town of Soquel, by a ‘creek’ south of the city, and Love Creek Road, overlooking Ben Lomond, came down from the hills as well Just like the terrain overlooking Oso Washington

image


(A recounting of the disaster and more photos at the Santa Cruz Sentinel)

Today, if you go to the Boulder Creek Brewery north of Ben Lomond in the Santa Cruz mountains and sit in the wood-grained luncheonette type booths, they are separated by etched glass with scenes of old Boulder Creek. Horse-drawn wagons, people in period garb frozen in time, and everywhere tree stumps.

Boulder Creek, indeed most of the Santa Cruz mountains, were stripped of their trees to make the lumber to rebuild San Francisco after the 1906 earthquake. Davenport, a small community 10 mile north of Santa Cruz on the Pacific coast, WAS THE BUSIEST shipping port on the West coast at the time moving that lumber up to the city.

70 some-odd years later, the rotten roots from all those trees let go, and Love Creek Road, at least the top, “lost altitude”, killing ten people.

But this IS NOT the ONLY example of human government’s cognitive dissonace when faced with environmental reality. To wit, also in 1983, in the geological run-up to the Loma Prieta earthquake of 1989

On May 2, 1983, an earthquake of magnitude 6.5 struck the quiet farming town of Colinga, California. Although the quake caused considerable damage and destruction to the town, there was one positive result: The state of California mandated that all cities and towns assess how local buildings would fare in a large earthquake and begin to take steps to minimize that damage.

In the city of Santa Cruz (where we live), Dave Steeves, a respected engineer, was charged with the task of preparing such an earthquake audit. Steeves identified 175 buildings that would suffer severe damage in a large earthquake, many of which were located in the Pacific Garden Mall area, the picturesque downtown shopping area of Santa Cruz. This area was particularly vulnerable to earthquake damage because many of the buildings were constructed of unreinforced masonry and, in addition, were built on sandy landfill, which tends to magnify the effects of a quake.

What was the reaction of the Santa Cruz city council to Steeves’s report?

A rational response would have been to evaluate carefully what he had to say. Did his arguments about unreinforced masonry and sandy landfill make sense? Did he do a complete inspection of the town? Once satisfied that Steeves’s argument was sound, a rational person would then have turned to a search for solutions—perhaps asking state and federal agencies for aid, alerting citizens to the danger, identifying immediate but low-cost ways of improving safety, marshaling local citizens to help with the situation, and so on. Indeed, Steeves identified at least one such low-cost solution.

But this was not the reaction of the town to Steeves’s news. Instead, his report was dismissed by the city council, which voted unanimously in 1987 to wait for the state of California to clarify the “nature of the state law, its options and their legal circumstances regarding the state law” and to convene a new committee to look at the issue. Steeves was called an alarmist and was charged with threatening the town with financial ruin. Many denied that a large earthquake was imminent or would even come at all. In short, Steeves’s report set off an attempt at collective dissonance reduction among town leaders.

On October 17, 1989, an earthquake of magnitude 7.1 hit Loma Prieta, a mountain area just outside Santa Cruz. Five people were killed and about 2,000 were injured in Santa Cruz County; 300 homes were destroyed and 5,000 more were seriously damaged. The Pacific Garden Mall lay in ruins. If anything, Steeves’s report had erred on the side of optimism.

As further testimony to the powerful need to reduce dissonance, one city official blamed Steeves for the lack of earthquake preparedness because his report “succeeded in having the whole issue put off by scaring people.”

Excerpted from Anthony R. Pratkanis and Elliot Aronson, Age of Propaganda; The Psychology of Everyday Persuasion, Ch.4 The Rationalizing Animal. The book, in high-resolution image format, is available at OneBigTorrent. An excellent primer on Public Relations, Disinformaton and Propaganda.
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