UPDATE 5-BP gets $4 bln from Anadarko for oil spill costs


* BP shares jump 2.2 pct; Anadarko up 3.8 pctBy Tom BerginLONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Anadarko Petroleum Corp will pay BP Plc $4 billion toward clean-up of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, far less than BP might have won in court, but the deal could reduce the overall cost of the disaster for the British group.Under the settlement announced on Monday, Anadarko said it will no longer pursue its allegations of gross negligence against BP. Anadarko was a 25 percent partner in the doomed Macondo well, and BP had sought payments to offset the costs of the spill.BP shares rose 2.2 percent in London on news of the settlement. Anadarko shares were up 3.8 percent to $73.27 in afternoon trading on the New York Stock Exchange.”We regard it as favourable for both companies,” BP Chief Executive Bob Dudley told reporters.Anadarko could have been on the hook for 25 percent of the cleanup costs, compensating those affected, and paying any government fines. It could only avoid this responsibility if it proved that BP had been grossly negligent — something which could, potentially, have added around $18 billion to the total amount of fines BP faced.Anadarko would still be liable under the deal with BP for any fines payable to the U.S. government.Fines for leaking oil into U.S waters are assessed at a level of $1,100 per barrel, or $4,300 if gross negligence is proven. The government has said the Macondo well leaked almost 5 million barrels into the sea.BP has said the total bill for the oil spill, including government fines, will be $42 billion. This suggests Anadarko could have faced a total bill well above the $4 billion it agreed to pay.LESS LIKELYInvestors have priced in a final cost to the company from the spill that is far above BP’s estimate. Analysts say deals such as the one announced Monday make the worst-case scenario — a final bill in excess of $70 billion — look less likely.”We maintain our view that the ultimate cost to BP could fall … substantially below the cost inferred by the share price fall since the accident,” said Richard Griffith, an oil analyst at Evolution Securities.In May, BP agreed to accept $1.1 billion from the third partner in Macondo, Mitsui & Co , to cover its 10 percent share of cleanup costs.BP’s lawsuits against companies it hired for the failed drilling project are among the hundreds of claims still pending before a federal judge in New Orleans. A trial date has been set for February next year.To share the cost of the spill and cleanup, BP sued Transocean , owner and operator of the sunken Deepwater Horizon rig, cement specialist Halliburton , and Cameron International Corp , which designed the blowout preventer, a device that was supposed to stop the surge of oil.Key to forcing Transocean to meet the cleanup bill — BP has sought the full amount from the drilling contractor — is convincing a court that Transocean was grossly negligent.If BP does recoup cash from Transocean or Halliburton, it will pay a portion of this — up to $1 billion to Anadarko under the terms of the deal.Two lengthy government inquiries have laid the lion’s share of the blame for the blowout at BP’s door.The rig blast killed 11 men and caused more than 4 million barrels of oil from the Macondo well to spill into the sea.The case is In re: Oil Spill by the Oil Rig “Deepwater Horizon”, U.S. District Court, Eastern District of Louisiana, No. 2:10-md-02179.


Gold, & Silver Jump As Citi Sells All USD Positions Fearing "Squeeze"

After a week of punishment, precious metals are kneejerking higher this morning on the heels of a Citi FX note explaining they are cutting all USD longs - “This is an opportunistic exit as we feel we may be due for a squeeze of USD long positions similar to what happened at this point in the cycle last year.” The USD Index is sliding quickly and Treasury yields inched higher (but remain -1.5bps despite equity strength).

The USD Index is slding..

and PMs are moving higher…

Charts: Bloomberg










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13. The Greatest Depression? German Yields Now Negative Through 2017 - http://ift.tt/UCMjST
Zero Hedge -

Another night, another sell-side bank suggests European QE must be getting closer and, along with more un-de-escalation in Russia-Ukraine, the bid for German bonds continues to surge as Europe’s greater depression appears increasingly priced into bonds. Yields on all German bonds out to 3 years are now negative and 10Y Bunds have collapsed to 90.5bps - record lows. This in turn - as we explained here - is dragging Treasury yields lower (10Y 2.36%) but leaves the spread to Bunds at record highs.

Bund tests 90bps…

as the entire German yield curve is now negative out to 3 years…

Massively divergent from stocks…

and US Treasuries follow suit…

Charts: Bloomberg








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Gold, & Silver Jump As Citi Sells All USD Positions Fearing “Squeeze”

from ZeroHedge: After a week of punishment, precious metals are kneejerking higher this morning on the heels of a Citi FX note explaining they are cutting all USD longs – “This is an opportunistic exit as we feel we may be due for a squeeze of USD long positions similar to what happened at this point in the cycle last year.” The USD Index is sliding quickly and Treasury yields inched higher (but remain -1.5bps despite equity strength). Read More @ ZeroHedge.com http://b4in.com/hEMq

anonymous said:

hi sorry if this is bothersome but where did you watch BloodDrive?

I watched several different livestreams. I’m not sure if they are still up though, as the creators of Blood Drive were pulling down all videos within the first couple of hours. 

The stream I watched from is no longer up, unfortunately. I say give it a few weeks? Soon 5bp will stop pulling down game play videos and you can watch them then!

Confidence In Central Planning Saved With Last Second All Time High Ramp

Once Europe closed, US equity markets rolled over on what is a new ‘lowest-volume-day-of-the-year’ led by recent winner Russell 2000. The Dow is now red on the week and the Nasdaq up 11 days in a row. Today was not about stocks though (aside from the close). While CAD saw its best gain in over 2 years, it was US Treasuries (as EUR weakened and Bund yields plunged) that made the flashing red headlines with 30Y back at 15-month lows (at 3.10%) and 10Y -3.5bps at 2.36% as the yield curve flattened even further. 2s30s dropped below 260bps - its flattest since Dec 2012. Un-de-escalation concerns evident in TSYs and credit finally started to bleed into VIX and stocks. Gold, silver, and oil limped higher as US weakened (and copper fell). A desperate buying panic into the close smashing S&P futures to VWAP magically enabled the S&P to close at the confidence-inspiring centrally-planned ‘wealth effect’ level of 2000.07!!

Come on…

all thanks to the machines driving S&P 500 e-mini futures back perfectly to VWAP…

Seriously…

Treasuries were once again heavily bid…

And the divergence grows…

leaving the Dow red on the week…

and Utes heavily bid into the close - not exactly risk on!!

The yield curve is utterly collapsing…which bodes very badly for P/E multiple expansion

Credit markets widened once again…

FX markets saw USD weakness as EUR strength (QU unlikely) and CAD strength (technicals and tax inversions) dragged it lower

Commodities trod water (copper dropped) despite the USD weakness

Charts: Bloomberg










via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1AVcPNJ
The Greatest Depression? German Yields Now Negative Through 2017

Another night, another sell-side bank suggests European QE must be getting closer and, along with more un-de-escalation in Russia-Ukraine, the bid for German bonds continues to surge as Europe’s greater depression appears increasingly priced into bonds. Yields on all German bonds out to 3 years are now negative and 10Y Bunds have collapsed to 90.5bps - record lows. This in turn - as we explained here - is dragging Treasury yields lower (10Y 2.36%) but leaves the spread to Bunds at record highs.

Bund tests 90bps…

as the entire German yield curve is now negative out to 3 years…

Massively divergent from stocks…

and US Treasuries follow suit…

Charts: Bloomberg










via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1vQP4Dm
13. Gold, & Silver Jump As Citi Sells All USD Positions Fearing "Squeeze" - http://ift.tt/189qAtW
Zero Hedge -

After a week of punishment, precious metals are kneejerking higher this morning on the heels of a Citi FX note explaining they are cutting all USD longs - “This is an opportunistic exit as we feel we may be due for a squeeze of USD long positions similar to what happened at this point in the cycle last year.” The USD Index is sliding quickly and Treasury yields inched higher (but remain -1.5bps despite equity strength).

The USD Index is slding..

and PMs are moving higher…

Charts: Bloomberg








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